Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf ETF Forecast
Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
The Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf ETF price fell by -0.211% on the last day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024) from £17.09 to £17.05. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.311% from a day low at £17.03 to a day high of £17.08. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.33% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 thousand shares and in total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £117.70 thousand.
The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at £17.08 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between £16.45 and £16.91 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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VUTY.L Signals & Forecast
The Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £17.04 and £16.91. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 21, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.211%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 03, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 03, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf ETF
Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf finds support from accumulated volume at £17.03 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved £0.0530 between high and low, or 0.311%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.222%
The Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf ETF is overbought on RSI14 and the RSI has been falling for the last couple of days. This together with the fact that the ETF is in the upper part of the trend poses a possible good selling opportunity for the short-term trader. However, one should note that some ETFS may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VUTY.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf to open at £17.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £16.94 and £17.16, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.110 (+/-0.65%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £17.03 (0.12%) than the resistance at £17.09 (0.23%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.408 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Usd Treasury Bond Ucits Etf of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
£17.05 ( 0.0059%) | £17.05 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VUTY.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 17.11 | 0.317% |
R2 | 17.08 | 0.198% |
R1 | 17.07 | 0.125% |
Price | 17.05 | |
S1 | 17.03 | -0.113% |
S2 | 17.02 | -0.186% |
S3 | 17.00 | -0.305% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 17.17 | 0.698% |
R2 | 17.16 | 0.639% |
R1 | 17.09 | 0.229% |
Price | 17.05 | |
S1 | 17.03 | -0.123% |
S2 | 16.96 | -0.534% |
S3 | 16.93 | -0.710% |
VUTY Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 16, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | May 29, 2024 | £0.0676 | 0.405% |
2 | Apr 11, 2024 | Apr 11, 2024 | Apr 24, 2024 | £0.0518 | 0.304% |
3 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | £0.0520 | 0.303% |
4 | Feb 15, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | Feb 28, 2024 | £0.0528 | 0.310% |
5 | Jan 18, 2024 | Jan 18, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | £0.0630 | 0.365% |
FAQ
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