Vivendi SA Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Tuesday for Vivendi SA stock after losing 0.465%
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Vivendi SA stock price fell by -0.465% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from 9.89€ to 9.84€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.429% from a day low at 9.80€ to a day high of 9.84€. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.88% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 6 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 55.12€ thousand.
The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vivendi SA stock with a 90% probability to be traded between 9.35€ and 10.04€ at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VVU.F Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Vivendi SA stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at 9.93€. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at 9.83€. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 01, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.465%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Vivendi SA gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vivendi SA stock
Vivendi SA finds support from accumulated volume at 9.82€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved 0.0420€ between high and low, or 0.429%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.441%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VVU.F) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Vivendi SA to open at 9.83€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 9.74€ and 9.94€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.0972€ (+/-0.99%) up or down from last closing price. If Vivendi SA takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 9.86€ (0.16%) than the support at 9.82€ (0.16%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vivendi SA stock A Buy?
Vivendi SA holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.864 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Vivendi SA of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 9.83€ ( 0.142%) | 9.84€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VVU.F
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 9.87 | 0.285% |
| R2 | 9.85 | 0.122% |
| R1 | 9.84 | 0.0208% |
| Price | 9.84 | |
| S1 | 9.81 | -0.305% |
| S2 | 9.80 | -0.406% |
| S3 | 9.78 | -0.569% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 10.03 | 1.88% |
| R2 | 9.88 | 0.407% |
| R1 | 9.86 | 0.163% |
| Price | 9.84 | |
| S1 | 9.82 | -0.163% |
| S2 | 9.77 | -0.752% |
| S3 | 9.75 | -0.87% |
VVU Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 30, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | May 03, 2024 | 0.250€ | 0% |
| 2 | Apr 25, 2023 | Apr 25, 2023 | Apr 25, 2023 | 0.250€ | 0% |
| 3 | Apr 26, 2022 | Apr 26, 2022 | Apr 26, 2022 | 0.250€ | 0% |
| 4 | Jun 23, 2021 | Jun 23, 2021 | Jun 23, 2021 | 0.600€ | 0% |
| 5 | Mar 11, 2020 | Apr 21, 2020 | Apr 23, 2020 | 0.600€ | 0% |
FAQ
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