Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond ETF Forecast
Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond ETF price ended at 150.88 Fr on Wednesday, after losing 0.393%.
(Updated on Jun 26, 2024)
The Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond ETF price fell by -0.393% on the last day (Wednesday, 26th Jun 2024) from 151.47 Fr to 150.88 Fr. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.249% from a day low at 150.88 Fr to a day high of 151.25 Fr. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.58% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 3 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 455.64 Fr thousand.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between 151.89 Fr and 157.21 Fr at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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X03H.SW Signals & Forecast
The Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately 151.66 Fr. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately 150.68 Fr. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.57%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond ETF
Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond finds support from accumulated volume at 150.40 Fr and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved 0.375 Fr between high and low, or 0.249%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.86%.
Our recommended stop-loss: 145.62 Fr (-3.48%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 11 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (X03H.SW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 27th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 27th we expect Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond Ucits Etf 4c - Chf Hedged to open at 151.00 Fr, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 149.23 Fr and 152.52 Fr, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-1.64 Fr (+/-1.09%) up or down from last closing price. If Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond Ucits Etf 4c - Chf Hedged takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.18% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 151.09 Fr (0.14%) than the support at 150.40 Fr (0.32%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond Ucits Etf 4c - Chf Hedged ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond ETF to perform well in the short-term period.
Current score: 3.184 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Xtrackers Ii Global Government Bond Ucits Etf 4c - Chf Hedged of Thursday, June 27, 2024
| Fair opening price June 27, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 151.00 Fr ( 0.0829%) | 150.88 Fr |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for X03H.SW
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 151.38 | 0.331% |
| R2 | 151.23 | 0.236% |
| R1 | 151.14 | 0.178% |
| Price | 150.88 | |
| S1 | 150.86 | -0.0121% |
| S2 | 150.77 | -0.0708% |
| S3 | 150.63 | -0.166% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 154.85 | 2.63% |
| R2 | 151.24 | 0.242% |
| R1 | 151.09 | 0.143% |
| Price | 150.88 | |
| S1 | 150.40 | -0.318% |
| S2 | 150.00 | -0.580% |
| S3 | 148.77 | -1.40% |
FAQ
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