SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Tuesday for SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock price gained 0.339% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024), rising from £147.50 to £148.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.16% from a day low at £147.00 to a day high of £148.70. The price has risen in 4 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.37% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -8 thousand shares and in total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £188.70 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 46.98% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £202.58 and £222.81 at the end of this 3-month period.
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XAR.L Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.33%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. The SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £147.29 and £137.05. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock
SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF finds support from accumulated volume at £147.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved £1.70 between high and low, or 1.16%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.33%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £143.17 (-3.27%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 16 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (XAR.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF to open at £147.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £143.91 and £152.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£4.09 (+/-2.76%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £147.00 (0.68%) than the resistance at £150.00 (1.35%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 4.088 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £147.90 ( 0.0676%) | £148.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for XAR.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 149.60 | 1.08% |
| R2 | 148.95 | 0.642% |
| R1 | 148.55 | 0.371% |
| Price | 148.00 | |
| S1 | 147.25 | -0.506% |
| S2 | 146.85 | -0.777% |
| S3 | 146.20 | -1.22% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0 | - |
| R2 | 0 | - |
| R1 | 150.00 | 1.35% |
| Price | 148.00 | |
| S1 | 147.00 | -0.676% |
| S2 | 140.00 | -5.41% |
| S3 | 115.50 | -21.96% |
XAR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 05, 2018 | Sep 13, 2018 | Oct 12, 2018 | £1.00 | 0.647% |
| 2 | Mar 21, 2018 | May 31, 2018 | Jun 29, 2018 | £6.80 | 2.84% |
| 3 | Sep 06, 2017 | Sep 14, 2017 | Oct 12, 2017 | £3.40 | 0.739% |
| 4 | Mar 22, 2017 | May 25, 2017 | Jun 26, 2017 | £6.70 | 1.86% |
| 5 | Aug 24, 2016 | Sep 01, 2016 | Sep 30, 2016 | £3.30 | 0.660% |
FAQ
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