SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR SPDR(R) ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR SPDR(R) ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR SPDR(R) ETF price gained 1.84% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $220.63 to $224.69. It has now gained 5 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.41% from a day low at $220.40 to a day high of $225.72. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.69% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 25 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 54 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.18 million.
The ETF is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR SPDR(R) ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $207.24 and $246.31 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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XSD Signals & Forecast
The SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR SPDR(R) ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $213.15 and $223.90. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 10.36%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR SPDR(R) ETF
SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR SPDR(R) finds support from accumulated volume at $220.29 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $5.32 between high and low, or 2.41%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.52%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $215.52 (-4.08%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (XSD) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR ETF SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR ETF to open at $223.60, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $218.72 and $230.66, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.97 (+/-2.66%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR ETF SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.31% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $220.29 (1.96%) than the resistance at $231.98 (3.24%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR ETF SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR ETF ETF A Buy?
SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR SPDR(R) holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.562 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR ETF SPDR(R) S&P(R) SEMICONDUCTOR ETF of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $223.60 ( 0.484%) | $224.69 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for XSD
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 228.92 | 1.88 % | |
| R2 | 226.89 | 0.98 % | ||
| R1 | 225.64 | 0.421 % | ||
| Current price: | 224.69 | |||
| Support | S1 | 221.57 | -1.39 % | |
| S2 | 220.32 | -1.95 % | ||
| S3 | 218.28 | -2.85 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 233.03 | 3.71 % | |
| R2 | 232.05 | 3.28 % | ||
| R1 | 231.98 | 3.24 % | ||
| Current price | 224.69 | |||
| Support | S1 | 220.29 | -1.96% | |
| S2 | 216.93 | -3.45% | ||
| S3 | 214.35 | -4.60% |
XSD Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | $0.0786 | 0.0344% |
| 2 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.192 | 0.0860% |
| 3 | Jan 26, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | $0.141 | 0.0741% |
| 4 | Jan 26, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.152 | 0.0732% |
| 5 | Jan 26, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | $0.218 | 0.106% |
FAQ
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