ConocoPhillips Stock Forecast
Red day on Thursday for ConocoPhillips
(Updated on May 16, 2024)
The ConocoPhillips stock price fell by -0.466% on the last day (Thursday, 16th May 2024) from 111.68€ to 111.16€. It has now fallen 7 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.615% from a day low at 110.62€ to a day high of 111.30€. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.44% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 147 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 255 shares were bought and sold for approximately 28.35€ thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 15.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 128.46€ and 152.39€ at the end of this 3-month period.
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YCP.F Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The ConocoPhillips stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 113.19€ and 119.00€. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -11.11%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). ConocoPhillips gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ConocoPhillips stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at 104.56€ and 103.12€. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, ConocoPhillips finds support just below today's level at 104.56€. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at 103.12€ and 102.88€.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 0.680€ between high and low, or 0.615%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.96%.
ConocoPhillips is oversold on RSI14 (13). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (YCP.F) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect ConocoPhillips to open at 111.03€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 109.51€ and 112.81€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-1.65€ (+/-1.48%) up or down from last closing price. If ConocoPhillips takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.97% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 104.56€ (5.94%) than the resistance at 120.32€ (8.24%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is ConocoPhillips stock A Buy?
The ConocoPhillips stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe ConocoPhillips will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.471 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for ConocoPhillips of Friday, May 17, 2024
Fair opening price May 17, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
111.03€ ( 0.120%) | 111.16€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for YCP.F
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 111.71 | 0.492 % | |
R2 | 111.45 | 0.258 % | ||
R1 | 111.29 | 0.114 % | ||
Current price: | 111.16 | |||
Support | S1 | 110.77 | -0.354 % | |
S2 | 110.61 | -0.498 % | ||
S3 | 110.35 | -0.732 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 121.40 | 9.21 % | |
R2 | 121.00 | 8.85 % | ||
R1 | 120.32 | 8.24 % | ||
Current price | 111.16 | |||
Support | S1 | 104.56 | -5.94% | |
S2 | 103.12 | -7.23% | ||
S3 | 102.88 | -7.45% |
YCP Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 10, 2024 | May 10, 2024 | Jun 03, 2024 | 0.727€ | 0% |
2 | Feb 15, 2024 | Feb 15, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | 0.724€ | 0% |
3 | Nov 13, 2023 | Nov 13, 2023 | Nov 13, 2023 | 0.580€ | 0% |
4 | Sep 27, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | 0.600€ | 0% |
5 | Aug 15, 2023 | Aug 15, 2023 | Aug 15, 2023 | 0.510€ | 0% |
FAQ
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