- Excellent financial health (Piotroski 7/9)
- Lower volatility than the market (beta -0.22)
- Healthy interest coverage ratio of 58.2x
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American stock downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 17, 2026)
The ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American stock price fell by -2.72% on the last day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026) from $24.59 to $23.92. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.20% from a day low at $23.82 to a day high of $24.10. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.64% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 966 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $23.11 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $24.55 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.02% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $19.01 and $22.09 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
ZTO Signals & Forecast
The ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $24.06. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $22.75. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 16, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.72%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 10, 2025 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 10, 2025 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American stock
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American finds support from accumulated volume at $23.55 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.285 between high and low, or 1.20%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.24%.
The ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ZTO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American Depositary Shares each representing one Class A. to open at $23.95, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $23.69 and $24.15, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.468 (+/-1.98%) up or down from last closing price. If ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American Depositary Shares each representing one Class A. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $23.55 (1.55%) than the resistance at $24.59 (2.80%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American Depositary Shares each representing one Class A. stock A Buy?
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-2.429
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - $23.95 ( 0.105%).
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ZTO Performance
Trading levels for ZTO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 24.23 | 1.30% |
| R2 | 24.12 | 0.84% |
| R1 | 24.05 | 0.560% |
| Price | 23.92 | |
| S1 | 23.84 | -0.351% |
| S2 | 23.77 | -0.632% |
| S3 | 23.66 | -1.09% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 25.62 | 7.11% |
| R2 | 25.37 | 6.06% |
| R1 | 24.59 | 2.80% |
| Price | 23.92 | |
| S1 | 23.55 | -1.55% |
| S2 | 23.22 | -2.93% |
| S3 | 22.83 | -4.56% |
ZTO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 17, 2026 | Apr 08, 2026 | Apr 29, 2026 | $0.380 | 1.50% |
| 2 | Aug 19, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | Oct 31, 2025 | $0.300 | 1.57% |
| 3 | Apr 10, 2025 | Apr 10, 2025 | Apr 29, 2025 | $0.340 | 1.81% |
| 4 | Aug 20, 2024 | Sep 10, 2024 | Oct 17, 2024 | $0.350 | 1.41% |
| 5 | Mar 20, 2024 | Apr 09, 2024 | Apr 29, 2024 | $0.610 | 2.86% |
FAQ
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