Amphenol Corporation Stock Forecast
Amphenol Corporation stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Amphenol Corporation stock price gained 2.32% on the last trading day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024), rising from $116.31 to $119.01. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.25% from a day low at $113.52 to a day high of $119.48. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.7% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 million shares and in total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $476.32 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the upper part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $120.61 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 13.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $126.05 and $136.85 at the end of this 3-month period.
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APH Signals & Forecast
The Amphenol Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $113.43 and $113.16. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.02%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Amphenol Corporation stock
Amphenol Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $116.31 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $5.96 between high and low, or 5.25%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.21%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $114.94 (-3.42%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (APH) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Amphenol Corporation to open at $117.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $116.24 and $121.78, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.77 (+/-2.32%) up or down from last closing price. If Amphenol Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $116.31, some $2.70 (2.27%) from the current price of $119.01, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Amphenol Corporation stock A Buy?
Amphenol Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Amphenol Corporation of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $117.34 ( 1.41%) | $119.01 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for APH
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 123.30 | 3.60 % | |
| R2 | 121.02 | 1.69 % | ||
| R1 | 119.61 | 0.507 % | ||
| Current price: | 119.01 | |||
| Support | S1 | 115.06 | -3.32 % | |
| S2 | 113.65 | -4.50 % | ||
| S3 | 111.38 | -6.41 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 119.01 | |||
| Support | S1 | 116.31 | -2.27% | |
| S2 | 115.35 | -3.08% | ||
| S3 | 114.26 | -3.99% |
APH Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | Apr 10, 2024 | $0.220 | 0.192% |
| 2 | Oct 24, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Jan 10, 2024 | $0.220 | 0.229% |
| 3 | Aug 04, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Oct 11, 2023 | $0.210 | 0.248% |
| 4 | May 05, 2023 | Jun 16, 2023 | Jul 12, 2023 | $0.210 | 0.245% |
| 5 | Feb 02, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Apr 12, 2023 | $0.210 | 0.269% |
FAQ
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