Aqua Metals Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Volatile ride for Aqua Metals stock price on Friday moving between $0.490 and $0.570
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Aqua Metals stock price fell by -1.91% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $0.508 to $0.498. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 16.30% from a day low at $0.490 to a day high of $0.570. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -10.24% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 171 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 276 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $137.54 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -5.99% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.420 and $0.652 at the end of this 3-month period.
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AQMS Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 24, 2024, and so far it has risen 3.26%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Aqua Metals stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $0.498 and $0.531. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Aqua Metals gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Aqua Metals stock
Aqua Metals finds support from accumulated volume at $0.491 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0799 between high and low, or 16.30%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 10.86%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AQMS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Aqua Metals to open at $0.519, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.450 and $0.546, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0480 (+/-9.63%) up or down from last closing price. If Aqua Metals takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 19.27% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $0.491 (1.35%) than the resistance at $0.523 (5.06%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Aqua Metals will release earnings BMO on Thursday, May 02, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.0500. We will update the financials statements for Aqua Metals, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 9.20% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Aqua Metals stock A Buy?
Aqua Metals holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.505 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Aqua Metals of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $0.519 ( 4.32%) | $0.498 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AQMS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.599 | 20.37 % | |
| R2 | 0.569 | 14.24 % | ||
| R1 | 0.550 | 10.45 % | ||
| Current price: | 0.498 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.489 | -1.81 % | |
| S2 | 0.470 | -5.60 % | ||
| S3 | 0.439 | -11.73 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.538 | 8.08 % | |
| R2 | 0.532 | 6.87 % | ||
| R1 | 0.523 | 5.06 % | ||
| Current price | 0.498 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.491 | -1.35% | |
| S2 | 0.490 | -1.57% | ||
| S3 | 0.489 | -1.77% |
FAQ
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