AmeriServ Financial Inc. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock price ended at $2.79 on Thursday, after gaining 1.09%.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock price gained 1.09% on the last trading day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024), rising from $2.76 to $2.79. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.66% from a day low at $2.65 to a day high of $2.80. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 15.77% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 1 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $20.41 thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -17.44% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.84 and $2.30 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ASRV Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $2.68 and $2.55. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has risen 21.30%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). AmeriServ Financial Inc. has increased volume and follows the last lift in the price. This is considered to be a technical positive sign as volume should follow the price-formation. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock
AmeriServ Financial Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $2.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.150 between high and low, or 5.66%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.81%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $2.69 (-3.74%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ASRV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect AmeriServ Financial Inc. to open at $2.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.64 and $2.94, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.145 (+/-5.20%) up or down from last closing price. If AmeriServ Financial Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.40% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $2.70 (3.23%) than the resistance at $2.91 (4.30%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is AmeriServ Financial Inc. stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.479 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for AmeriServ Financial Inc. of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$2.75 ( 1.55%) | $2.79 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ASRV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.90 | 3.82 % | |
R2 | 2.84 | 1.77 % | ||
R1 | 2.80 | 0.501 % | ||
Current price: | 2.79 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.69 | -3.61 % | |
S2 | 2.65 | -4.88 % | ||
S3 | 2.60 | -6.93 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 3.10 | 11.11 % | |
R2 | 3.01 | 7.89 % | ||
R1 | 2.91 | 4.30 % | ||
Current price | 2.79 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.70 | -3.23% | |
S2 | 2.57 | -7.89% | ||
S3 | 2.39 | -14.34% |
ASRV Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 19, 2024 | May 03, 2024 | May 20, 2024 | $0.0300 | 1.08% |
2 | Jan 18, 2024 | Feb 02, 2024 | Feb 20, 2024 | $0.0300 | 1.03% |
3 | Oct 20, 2023 | Nov 03, 2023 | Nov 20, 2023 | $0.0300 | 1.08% |
4 | Jul 20, 2023 | Aug 04, 2023 | Aug 21, 2023 | $0.0300 | 0.96% |
5 | Apr 20, 2023 | May 05, 2023 | Aug 21, 2023 | $0.0300 | 0.96% |
FAQ
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