CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A Stock Forecast
CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A stock price fell by -1.84% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $23.34 to $22.91. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.75% from a day low at $22.81 to a day high of $23.21. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.13% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 460 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $24.04 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.42% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $20.18 and $22.40 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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CARG Signals & Forecast
The CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $22.47 and $22.82. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.39%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A stock
CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A finds support from accumulated volume at $22.47 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.400 between high and low, or 1.75%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.44%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (CARG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A to open at $22.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $22.28 and $23.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.625 (+/-2.73%) up or down from last closing price. If CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.46% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $23.00 (0.39%) than the support at $22.47 (1.92%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A stock A Buy?
CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.330 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for CarGurus Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $22.98 ( 0.291%) | $22.91 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for CARG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 23.38 | 2.04 % | |
| R2 | 23.22 | 1.37 % | ||
| R1 | 23.13 | 0.96 % | ||
| Current price: | 22.91 | |||
| Support | S1 | 22.82 | -0.376 % | |
| S2 | 22.73 | -0.788 % | ||
| S3 | 22.58 | -1.45 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 23.52 | 2.66 % | |
| R2 | 23.46 | 2.40 % | ||
| R1 | 23.00 | 0.393 % | ||
| Current price | 22.91 | |||
| Support | S1 | 22.47 | -1.92% | |
| S2 | 22.23 | -2.97% | ||
| S3 | 21.85 | -4.63% |
FAQ
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