First BanCorp Stock Analysis
Technical stock analysis for 18 January 2019
|Shorts||2.21% ( 2018-12-31 )|
First BanCorp gained 0.96% in the last trading day, rising from $9.41 to $9.50 , and has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 9.32% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day by -0.35 million shares, and in total, 1.48 million shares bought and sold for approximately $14.05 million. You should take into consideration that a falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes for the next couple of days.
Close price at the end of the last trading day (Friday, 18th Jan 2019) of the FBP stock was $9.50. This is 0.96% more than the trading day before Thursday, 17th Jan 2019.
During day the stock fluctuated 2.25% from a day low at $9.32 to a day high of $9.53.
30 day high of the FBP stock price was $9.53 and low was $7.91.
90 day high was $9.68 and low was $7.91.
52 week high for the First BanCorp - $9.68 and low - $5.32.
First BanCorp has broken the wide and falling short-term trend up. Firstly a slower falling rate is indicated, but this may very well be an early signal of a trend shift. On the reaction there will be support on the roof on the current trend broken, which is $9.21, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $10.56 will be the next possible trendtop level and thereby pose a resistance level which may not be broken on the first attempt.
Only positive signals in the chart today. First BanCorp holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $9.17 and $8.74. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday January 03, 2019, which indicates further gains until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The stock holds a RSI14 at 81 and is currently being overbought on RSI. This does not have to be a sales signal as many stocks may go both long and hard while being overbought on the RSI. It is therefore important to evaluate the history of the share as it may tell you something about the RSI-sensitiveness.
Support & Resistance
First BanCorp finds support from accumulated volume at $9.48.
This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.21 between high and low, or 2.25%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 2.50%.
The stock is extremely overbought on RSI14 (81). Normally this will pose a good selling opportunity, but since the stock has broken the trend up the chance for a major correction due to high RSI is very small as the stock will find support at the trend broken. Since the First BanCorp has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk for the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.
Our recommended stoploss: $9.18 (-3.42%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 81 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from pivot bottom found 11 days ago.)
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Several short-term signals are positive and the break-up from the falling trend indicates a possible shift for a trend. We believe that the prices around the breaking point will indicate particularly good levels, but we also believe that the current level will hold a possible good buy level for the short-term period.
|FBP $9.50 $0.09(0.96%)|
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