FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF Forecast
Green day on Thursday for FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF price gained 1.77% on the last trading day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024), rising from $18.97 to $19.31. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.01% from a day low at $18.93 to a day high of $19.31. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -2.13% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 80 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 80 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.55 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 9.00% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $20.50 and $22.68 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FCA Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $19.34. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $19.16. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 18, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.74%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF
FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $19.30 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.380 between high and low, or 2.01%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.684%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FCA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND to open at $19.18, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.04 and $19.58, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.271 (+/-1.40%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $19.30 (0.05%) than the resistance at $19.33 (0.10%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF A Buy?
FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Current score: -1.787 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$19.18 ( 0.656%) | $19.31 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FCA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 19.56 | 1.31 % | |
R2 | 19.42 | 0.560 % | ||
R1 | 19.33 | 0.0958 % | ||
Current price: | 19.31 | |||
Support | S1 | 19.04 | -1.41 % | |
S2 | 18.95 | -1.87 % | ||
S3 | 18.80 | -2.62 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 19.99 | 3.52 % | |
R2 | 19.36 | 0.256 % | ||
R1 | 19.33 | 0.104 % | ||
Current price | 19.31 | |||
Support | S1 | 19.30 | -0.0518% | |
S2 | 19.29 | -0.104% | ||
S3 | 18.94 | -1.92% |
FCA Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.103 | 0.548% |
2 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.0847 | 0.457% |
3 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.450 | 2.38% |
4 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.522 | 2.59% |
5 | Dec 22, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $0.599 | 2.81% |
FAQ
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