FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF Forecast
FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF price gained 0.673% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $19.31 to $19.44. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.514% from a day low at $19.44 to a day high of $19.54. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.09% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -78 thousand shares and in total, 2 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $45.26 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 8.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $20.49 and $22.68 at the end of this 3-month period.
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FCA Signals & Forecast
The FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $19.20 and $19.34. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 18, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.09%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF
FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $19.33 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.1000 between high and low, or 0.514%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.730%
Our recommended stop-loss: $18.67 (-3.95%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 28 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (FCA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND to open at $19.47, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.17 and $19.71, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.268 (+/-1.38%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $19.33 (0.57%) than the resistance at $19.59 (0.77%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF A Buy?
FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.432 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$19.47 ( 0.171%) | $19.44 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FCA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 19.57 | 0.686 % | |
R2 | 19.54 | 0.489 % | ||
R1 | 19.51 | 0.368 % | ||
Current price: | 19.44 | |||
Support | S1 | 19.44 | -0.0250 % | |
S2 | 19.41 | -0.146 % | ||
S3 | 19.37 | -0.343 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 19.99 | 2.83 % | |
R2 | 19.61 | 0.87 % | ||
R1 | 19.59 | 0.772 % | ||
Current price | 19.44 | |||
Support | S1 | 19.33 | -0.566% | |
S2 | 19.31 | -0.669% | ||
S3 | 19.30 | -0.720% |
FCA Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.103 | 0.548% |
2 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.0847 | 0.457% |
3 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.450 | 2.38% |
4 | Jun 26, 2023 | Jun 27, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | $0.522 | 2.59% |
5 | Dec 22, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $0.599 | 2.81% |
FAQ
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