First Trust China Alphadex Fund ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jun 22, 2026

The FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF price gained 3.34% on the last trading day (Monday, 22nd Jun 2026), rising from $29.04 to $30.01. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 8.64% from a day low at $28.58 to a day high of $31.05. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.6% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $64.20 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -5.08% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $27.54 and $32.12 at the end of this 3-month period.

FCA Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $30.11 and $31.57. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 18, 2026, and so far it has risen 3.34%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF

FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $29.82 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.47 (8.64%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 3.39%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $28.55 (-4.87%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (FCA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND to open at $29.88, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $29.58 and $30.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.85 (+/-2.88%) up or down from last closing price. If FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.88% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $29.82 (0.64%) than the resistance at $31.40 (4.63%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND ETF A Buy?

FIRST TRUST CHINA ALPHADEX FUND holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.074 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2026 - $29.88 ( 0.433%).

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