Vince Holding Corp Stock Forecast
Red day on Thursday for Vince Holding Corp stock after losing 1.96%
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Vince Holding Corp stock price fell by -1.96% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $2.55 to $2.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.00% from a day low at $2.50 to a day high of $2.55. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -15.25% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -30 thousand shares and in total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.97 thousand.
The stock has broken the very wide and falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($2.64) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $1.91 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
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VNCE Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vince Holding Corp stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $2.78 and $3.12. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 26, 2024, and so far it has fallen -29.58%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vince Holding Corp stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0500 between high and low, or 2.00%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.68%.
Vince Holding Corp is oversold on RSI14 (12). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VNCE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Vince Holding Corp to open at $2.52, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $2.37 and $2.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.130 (+/-5.20%) up or down from last closing price. If Vince Holding Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $2.55, some $0.0500 (2.00%) from the current price of $2.50, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Vince Holding Corp stock A Buy?
Vince Holding Corp holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -5.254 Strong Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Vince Holding Corp of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$2.52 ( 0.667%) | $2.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VNCE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.57 | 2.67 % | |
R2 | 2.55 | 1.90 % | ||
R1 | 2.54 | 1.43 % | ||
Current price: | 2.50 | |||
Support | S1 | 2.50 | -0.0973 % | |
S2 | 2.49 | -0.569 % | ||
S3 | 2.47 | -1.33 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 2.95 | 18.00 % | |
R2 | 2.77 | 10.80 % | ||
R1 | 2.55 | 2.00 % | ||
Current price | 2.50 | |||
Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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