SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock price ended at £120.00 on Thursday, after gaining 1.27%.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock price gained 1.27% on the last trading day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024), rising from £118.50 to £120.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.00% from a day low at £112.50 to a day high of £121.50. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 11.63% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -20 thousand shares and in total, 91 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £10.90 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.01% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £106.79 and £140.01 at the end of this 3-month period.
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XAR.L Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at £115.43 and £109.60. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 05, 2024, and so far it has risen 18.23%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at £109.00 and £107.50. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF finds support just below today's level at £109.00. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at £107.50 and £105.00.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved £9.00 between high and low, or 8.00%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.89%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £116.35 (-3.04%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 14 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (XAR.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF to open at £118.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £114.88 and £125.12, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£5.12 (+/-4.27%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.53% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £122.50 (2.08%) than the support at £109.00 (9.17%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF stock A Buy?
SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF holds several positive signals and is within a weak rising trend. As the old saying says, "Let the trend be your friend.'". We therefore consider it to be a good choice at these current levels and we are expecting further gains during the next 3 months.
Current score: 6.288 Strong Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for SPDR(R) S&P(R) AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £118.00 ( 1.67%) | £120.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for XAR.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 127.00 | 5.83 % | |
| R2 | 123.56 | 2.97 % | ||
| R1 | 121.44 | 1.20 % | ||
| Current price: | 120.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 114.56 | -4.53 % | |
| S2 | 112.44 | -6.30 % | ||
| S3 | 109.00 | -9.17 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 130.50 | 8.75 % | |
| R2 | 129.00 | 7.50 % | ||
| R1 | 122.50 | 2.08 % | ||
| Current price | 120.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 109.00 | -9.17% | |
| S2 | 107.50 | -10.42% | ||
| S3 | 105.00 | -12.50% |
XAR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 05, 2018 | Sep 13, 2018 | Oct 12, 2018 | £1.00 | 0.647% |
| 2 | Mar 21, 2018 | May 31, 2018 | Jun 29, 2018 | £6.80 | 2.84% |
| 3 | Sep 06, 2017 | Sep 14, 2017 | Oct 12, 2017 | £3.40 | 0.739% |
| 4 | Mar 22, 2017 | May 25, 2017 | Jun 26, 2017 | £6.70 | 1.86% |
| 5 | Aug 24, 2016 | Sep 01, 2016 | Sep 30, 2016 | £3.30 | 0.660% |
FAQ
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