BNC Bancorp Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
BNC Bancorp stock downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The BNC Bancorp stock price fell by -0.526% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024) from $21.87 to $21.75. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.0690% from a day low at $21.75 to a day high of $21.77. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.35% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 823 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 959 shares were bought and sold for approximately $20.86 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.56% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $21.22 and $26.46 at the end of this 3-month period.
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YZCAY Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The BNC Bancorp stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $22.03. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $21.53. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). BNC Bancorp gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 05, 2024, and so far it has risen 6.10%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for BNC Bancorp stock
BNC Bancorp finds support from accumulated volume at $21.33 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0150 between high and low, or 0.0690%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.198%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $20.68 (-4.94%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 18 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (YZCAY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect BNC Bancorp to open at $21.76, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $21.30 and $22.20, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.447 (+/-2.06%) up or down from last closing price. If BNC Bancorp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $21.33 (1.93%) than the resistance at $22.27 (2.37%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is BNC Bancorp stock A Buy?
BNC Bancorp holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.417 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for BNC Bancorp of Thursday, May 2, 2024
Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$21.76 ( 0.0230%) | $21.75 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for YZCAY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.77 | 0.0920 % | |
R2 | 21.76 | 0.0656 % | ||
R1 | 21.76 | 0.0493 % | ||
Current price: | 21.75 | |||
Support | S1 | 21.75 | -0.0034 % | |
S2 | 21.75 | -0.0196 % | ||
S3 | 21.74 | -0.0460 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 22.90 | 5.29 % | |
R2 | 22.52 | 3.54 % | ||
R1 | 22.27 | 2.37 % | ||
Current price | 21.75 | |||
Support | S1 | 21.33 | -1.93% | |
S2 | 20.85 | -4.14% | ||
S3 | 20.32 | -6.57% |
YZCAY Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aug 07, 2023 | Jul 03, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | $1.74 | 11.69% |
2 | Jul 01, 2022 | Jul 01, 2022 | Aug 01, 2022 | $0.597 | 2.83% |
3 | Jun 22, 2021 | Jun 22, 2021 | Aug 13, 2021 | $0.623 | 6.61% |
4 | Jun 24, 2020 | Jun 24, 2020 | Aug 17, 2020 | $0.82 | 15.13% |
5 | Nov 07, 2019 | Nov 07, 2019 | Dec 23, 2019 | $1.42 | 23.84% |
FAQ
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