INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC Stock Forecast
INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock price down 2.09% on Thursday
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock price fell by -2.09% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $8.61 to $8.43. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.02% from a day low at $8.41 to a day high of $8.58. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.17% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 113 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $8.78 million.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $8.02 and $9.57 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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IVR Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $8.98. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $8.35. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.20%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock
INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC finds support from accumulated volume at $8.37 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.170 between high and low, or 2.02%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.47%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (IVR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC to open at $8.47, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $8.21 and $8.65, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.224 (+/-2.66%) up or down from last closing price. If INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.32% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $8.37 (0.71%) than the resistance at $8.53 (1.19%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock A Buy?
INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -3.578 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $8.47 ( 0.514%) | $8.43 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for IVR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 8.64 | 2.53 % | |
| R2 | 8.58 | 1.76 % | ||
| R1 | 8.54 | 1.28 % | ||
| Current price: | 8.43 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.41 | -0.256 % | |
| S2 | 8.37 | -0.732 % | ||
| S3 | 8.30 | -1.50 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 9.41 | 11.63 % | |
| R2 | 8.66 | 2.73 % | ||
| R1 | 8.53 | 1.19 % | ||
| Current price | 8.43 | |||
| Support | S1 | 8.37 | -0.712% | |
| S2 | 8.26 | -2.02% | ||
| S3 | 8.25 | -2.14% |
IVR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 26, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | Apr 26, 2024 | $0.400 | 4.74% |
| 2 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 26, 2024 | $0.400 | 4.35% |
| 3 | Sep 26, 2023 | Oct 05, 2023 | Oct 27, 2023 | $0.400 | 6.14% |
| 4 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 30, 2023 | Jul 27, 2023 | $0.400 | 3.35% |
| 5 | Mar 27, 2023 | Apr 06, 2023 | Apr 27, 2023 | $0.400 | 3.86% |
FAQ
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