Invesco Mortgage Capital Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 18, 2026 Loss -2.38%

The INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock price fell by -1.26% on the last day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026) from $7.91 to $7.81. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.30% from a day low at $7.75 to a day high of $7.85. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.26% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 million shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $16.21 million.

The stock lies in the lower of a falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $7.75 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -3.08% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $7.51 and $7.96 at the end of this 3-month period.

IVR Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $7.99 and $7.97. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.64%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, July 24, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC finds support from accumulated volume at $7.80 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.101 between high and low, or 1.30%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.84%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (IVR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC to open at $7.80, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $7.73 and $7.89, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.151 (+/-1.95%) up or down from last closing price. If INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.95% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $7.80 (0.13%) than the resistance at $7.87 (0.77%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For IVR

Notice for IVR: Ex-dividend date was Tuesday 23rd June, 2026. The dividend was $0.120.

Is INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC stock A Buy?

INVESCO MORTGAGE CAPITAL INC holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -2.261 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $7.80 ( 0.0883%).

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