Microsoft Stock Forecast
Microsoft stock upgraded from Sell Candidate to Buy Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The stock lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.02% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $407.26 and $441.60 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MSFT Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Microsoft stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $416.91. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $403.76. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, April 25, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.82%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Microsoft stock
Microsoft finds support from accumulated volume at $403.78 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $7.24 (1.78%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.86%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $385.65 (-5.09%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (MSFT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Microsoft Corporation to open at $408.36, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $397.76 and $414.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$8.56 (+/-2.11%) up or down from last closing price. If Microsoft Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.21% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $403.78 (0.63%) than the resistance at $413.64 (1.80%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Microsoft Corporation stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Microsoft stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.640 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Microsoft Corporation of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$408.36 ( 0.502%) | $406.32 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MSFT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 415.60 | 2.28 % | |
R2 | 412.83 | 1.60 % | ||
R1 | 411.13 | 1.18 % | ||
Current price: | 406.32 | |||
Support | S1 | 405.59 | -0.179 % | |
S2 | 403.89 | -0.599 % | ||
S3 | 401.12 | -1.28 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 425.22 | 4.65 % | |
R2 | 416.42 | 2.49 % | ||
R1 | 413.64 | 1.80 % | ||
Current price | 406.32 | |||
Support | S1 | 403.78 | -0.625% | |
S2 | 399.04 | -1.79% | ||
S3 | 397.58 | -2.15% |
MSFT Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 12, 2024 | May 15, 2024 | Jun 13, 2024 | $0.750 | 0.185% |
2 | Nov 28, 2023 | Feb 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | $0.750 | 0.176% |
3 | Sep 19, 2023 | Nov 15, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | $0.750 | 0.205% |
4 | Jun 13, 2023 | Aug 16, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | $0.680 | 0.201% |
5 | Mar 14, 2023 | May 17, 2023 | Jun 08, 2023 | $0.680 | 0.209% |
FAQ
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