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Bitcoin's Rally: Surge Towards $100,000 Fueled by Trump's Election and ETF Optimism

Alex Vellor
04:41am, Friday, Nov 22, 2024
Illustration: envato.com

Bitcoin's trajectory towards the $100,000 mark has been nothing short of exhilarating, marked by its recent ascent fueled by significant political developments.

As of November 21, Bitcoin is on the verge of achieving this monumental milestone, a feat that has been influenced, in part, by the recent election of Republican Donald Trump as president. This shift in the political landscape has ignited hopes among investors for a more favorable regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies, contributing to a surge in Bitcoin's value.

The world's leading cryptocurrency has seen its price more than double from its earlier low of $38,505 earlier this year, and it has appreciated approximately 45% over the two weeks that followed Trump's election victory. This remarkable rally has significant implications for traders, many of whom are eagerly tracking the potential for Bitcoin to reach new heights.

To appreciate the current momentum, it helps to understand Bitcoin's evolutionary timeline:

Year Event
2008 The enigmatic Satoshi Nakamoto introduces the vision of Bitcoin, laying the groundwork for a financial revolution.
2010 The first real-world transaction occurs: 10,000 Bitcoin traded for two pizzas from Papa John's (PZZA), showcasing Bitcoin's value proposition.
2013 Interest surges as the Winklevoss twins file for the first spot Bitcoin ETF with the SEC, and Grayscale Investments launches the Bitcoin Investment Trust.
2016 The Winklevoss duo revises their ETF application, naming State Street (STT) as administrator, while Grayscale pushes to convert its trust into an ETF.
2017 The SEC rejects the Winklevoss ETF, citing immature Bitcoin markets; Grayscale withdraws its own ETF initiative.
2018 A second SEC rejection disheartens Winklevoss ETF advocates, citing inadequate market protections.
2020 Grayscale's trust becomes the first SEC-reporting, publicly traded Bitcoin fund in the U.S., but not an ETF.
2021 The first spot Bitcoin ETF debuts in Canada. The ProShares Bitcoin Trust launches in the U.S., trading on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
2022 Multiple spot Bitcoin ETF applications are rejected by the SEC amid market turmoil, including FTX's collapse.
2023 BlackRock (BLK) files for a spot Bitcoin ETF. Grayscale wins a favorable court ruling against the SEC, renewing optimism.
2024 Major approvals for spot Bitcoin ETFs from BlackRock and Fidelity drive Bitcoin past $70,000 by March, boosted by institutional interest and political advocacy.

As of mid-November, with the anticipation of relaxed regulations under Trump's expected presidency, Bitcoin is hurtling towards the $100,000 milestone, driven by robust investor interest. This year-to-date performance has seen ETF inflows soaring, with net inflows hitting $25.8 billion, signaling heightened confidence among traders.

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Alex Vellor

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