Aflac Earnings Calls
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.77 |
| EPS actual | $2.49 |
| EPS Surprise | 40.68% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.468B |
| Revenue actual | 4.74B |
| Revenue Surprise | 6.09% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.70 |
| EPS actual | $1.11 |
| EPS Surprise | -34.71% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.326B |
| Revenue actual | 4.16B |
| Revenue Surprise | -3.83% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.67 |
| EPS actual | $1.66 |
| EPS Surprise | -0.599% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.269B |
| Revenue actual | 4.326B |
| Revenue Surprise | 1.35% |
| Release date | Feb 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.62 |
| EPS actual | $3.42 |
| EPS Surprise | 111.11% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.163B |
| Revenue actual | 5.403B |
| Revenue Surprise | 29.78% |
Last 4 Quarters for Aflac
Below you can see how 0H68.L performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $106.62 |
| EPS estimate | $1.62 |
| EPS actual | $3.42 |
| EPS surprise | 111.11% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | $108.67 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $108.71 |
| Feb 03, 2025 | $106.66 |
| Feb 04, 2025 | $107.96 |
| Feb 05, 2025 | $106.62 |
| Feb 06, 2025 | $103.64 |
| Feb 07, 2025 | $103.92 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $102.59 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $103.03 |
| 4 days before | -1.89% |
| 4 days after | -3.37% |
| On release day | -2.80% |
| Change in period | -5.19% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $107.99 |
| EPS estimate | $1.67 |
| EPS actual | $1.66 |
| EPS surprise | -0.599% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | $108.87 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $107.52 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $108.16 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $107.98 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $107.99 |
| May 01, 2025 | $104.61 |
| May 02, 2025 | $105.14 |
| May 05, 2025 | $105.14 |
| May 06, 2025 | $105.92 |
| 4 days before | -0.81% |
| 4 days after | -1.92% |
| On release day | -3.13% |
| Change in period | -2.71% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $99.40 |
| EPS estimate | $1.70 |
| EPS actual | $1.11 |
| EPS surprise | -34.71% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | $99.43 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $99.89 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $97.75 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $97.88 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $99.40 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $101.89 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $101.99 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $103.68 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $104.05 |
| 4 days before | -0.0352% |
| 4 days after | 4.68% |
| On release day | 2.51% |
| Change in period | 4.65% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $107.96 |
| EPS estimate | $1.77 |
| EPS actual | $2.49 |
| EPS surprise | 40.68% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | $106.47 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $106.99 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $106.98 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $106.04 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $107.96 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $112.53 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $111.90 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $114.74 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $112.63 |
| 4 days before | 1.40% |
| 4 days after | 4.33% |
| On release day | 4.23% |
| Change in period | 5.79% |
Aflac Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
Aflac reported solid Q3 2025 results: adjusted EPS of $2.49 (up 15.3% Y/Y) and reported EPS of $3.08. Japan was the primary growth driver — sales rose 11.8% Y/Y with cancer insurance (Miraito) up ~42% and strong early traction for repriced Tsumitasu and other channels; persistency in Japan remained high (~93%). U.S. new sales were $390 million (up 2.8% Y/Y), net earned premium +2.5%, persistency 79%, and ongoing focus on underwriting discipline and scaling buy-to-build initiatives (dental, labs, group life/disability) — some lines are profitable already but others need more scale. Investment income performed in line with expectations; management booked reserve remeasurement gains (Q3 assumption update) that materially boosted EPS (~$0.76 per share) and favorably affected benefit ratios. Capital and liquidity are strong: created $2B of off‑balance sheet PCAPs, holding company liquidity $4.5B (well above minimum), leverage ~22%, SMR >900%, estimated ESR >250% and combined RBC >600%. Management returned large capital to shareholders in Q3 ($1.0B buybacks + $309M dividends = $1.3B), repurchased 9.3M shares, and reiterated disciplined/tactical capital deployment. Headwinds/risks noted: increases to CECL reserves for commercial real estate and some private credit monitoring; U.S. expense ratio elevated in Q3 due to a one‑time $21M contract termination fee tied to a cloud migration/technology optimization; management remains cautious and disciplined on M&A and product mix/underwriting. 2025 outlook/guidance: Aflac Japan benefit ratio expected 58–60% and expense ratio at lower end of 20–23% (pretax margin 35–38%); U.S. benefit ratio expected at lower end of 48–52%, expense ratio mid‑to‑upper 36–39% (pretax margin at upper end of 17–20%).
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