Marathon Petroleum Earnings Calls
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $3.15 |
| EPS actual | $3.01 |
| EPS Surprise | -4.44% |
| Revenue estimate | 30.533B |
| Revenue actual | 35.849B |
| Revenue Surprise | 17.41% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $3.24 |
| EPS actual | $3.96 |
| EPS Surprise | 22.22% |
| Revenue estimate | 29.288B |
| Revenue actual | 33.66B |
| Revenue Surprise | 14.93% |
| Release date | May 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.542 |
| EPS actual | -$0.122 |
| EPS Surprise | 77.54% |
| Revenue estimate | 32.355B |
| Revenue actual | 31.85B |
| Revenue Surprise | -1.56% |
| Release date | Feb 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0220 |
| EPS actual | $1.15 |
| EPS Surprise | 5,129.65% |
| Revenue estimate | 32.104B |
| Revenue actual | 33.067B |
| Revenue Surprise | 3.00% |
Last 4 Quarters for Marathon Petroleum
Below you can see how 0JYA.L performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $154.62 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0220 |
| EPS actual | $1.15 |
| EPS surprise | 5,129.65% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | $153.10 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $149.28 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $148.89 |
| Feb 03, 2025 | $144.22 |
| Feb 04, 2025 | $154.62 |
| Feb 05, 2025 | $158.05 |
| Feb 06, 2025 | $156.18 |
| Feb 07, 2025 | $151.68 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $154.58 |
| 4 days before | 0.99% |
| 4 days after | -0.0259% |
| On release day | 2.22% |
| Change in period | 0.97% |
| Release date | May 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $145.23 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.542 |
| EPS actual | -$0.122 |
| EPS surprise | 77.54% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | $133.67 |
| May 01, 2025 | $138.81 |
| May 02, 2025 | $140.02 |
| May 05, 2025 | $144.34 |
| May 06, 2025 | $145.23 |
| May 07, 2025 | $144.44 |
| May 08, 2025 | $151.28 |
| May 09, 2025 | $150.91 |
| May 12, 2025 | $157.68 |
| 4 days before | 8.64% |
| 4 days after | 8.58% |
| On release day | -0.541% |
| Change in period | 17.96% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $167.38 |
| EPS estimate | $3.24 |
| EPS actual | $3.96 |
| EPS surprise | 22.22% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | $171.58 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $169.76 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $165.23 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $167.94 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $167.38 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $161.81 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $162.61 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $160.84 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $159.94 |
| 4 days before | -2.45% |
| 4 days after | -4.44% |
| On release day | -3.33% |
| Change in period | -6.78% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $182.72 |
| EPS estimate | $3.15 |
| EPS actual | $3.01 |
| EPS surprise | -4.44% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | $194.75 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $199.27 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $195.08 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $195.89 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $182.72 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $188.24 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $194.00 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $194.19 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $192.96 |
| 4 days before | -6.18% |
| 4 days after | 5.60% |
| On release day | 3.02% |
| Change in period | -0.92% |
Marathon Petroleum Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) reported a strong third quarter driven by robust cash generation, operational reliability and midstream progress. Key financials: adjusted net income of $3.01 per share, adjusted EBITDA of $3.2 billion, and $2.4 billion of operating cash flow excluding working capital. MPC returned $3.2 billion to shareholders year-to-date (dividends + buybacks) and repurchased $650 million in Q3. The Board approved a 10% increase to the MPC dividend. Operational highlights: refinery utilization averaged 95% (2.8 million b/d throughput), system capture was 96% in the quarter and 102% year-to-date, and renewable diesel plants ran at 86% utilization (margins pressured by feedstock and RIN costs). Drivers of the softer quarter capture included West Coast margin compression, an unusual jet-to-diesel dislocation, and downtime at the Galveston Bay resid hydrocracker (RHU) which is expected back to capacity early in Q4. Midstream (MPLX) adjusted EBITDA grew ~5% YoY; MPLX completed strategic acquisitions and reiterated a target distribution growth rate of 12.5% for the next couple years, implying ~$2.8 billion in annual cash to MPC today and potentially >$3.5 billion if the target is met—supportive of MPC’s capital return capacity. Q4 guidance: ~2.7 million b/d throughput (90% utilization), turnaround expense ~$420 million (West Coast focused), operating costs ~$5.80/bbL, distribution costs ~$1.6 billion, and corporate costs ~$240 million. Management reiterated share buybacks as the primary return mechanism, prefers to maintain ~$1 billion cash at MPC, and said they would not take on debt to fund buybacks. They expect 2026 capital spending to be below 2025 and view market fundamentals (product draws, tight inventories) as supportive into 2026.
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