Shopify Earnings Calls
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.337 |
| EPS actual | $0.344 |
| EPS Surprise | 2.11% |
| Revenue estimate | 3.577B |
| Revenue actual | 2.876B |
| Revenue Surprise | -19.60% |
| Release date | Aug 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.291 |
| EPS actual | $0.704 |
| EPS Surprise | 141.84% |
| Revenue estimate | 2.755B |
| Revenue actual | 2.724B |
| Revenue Surprise | -1.11% |
| Release date | May 08, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.253 |
| EPS actual | -$0.526 |
| EPS Surprise | -308.02% |
| Revenue estimate | 2.525B |
| Revenue actual | 2.36B |
| Revenue Surprise | -6.55% |
| Release date | Feb 11, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.432 |
| EPS actual | $0.97 |
| EPS Surprise | 124.72% |
| Revenue estimate | 2.334B |
| Revenue actual | 2.733B |
| Revenue Surprise | 17.06% |
Last 4 Quarters for Shopify
Below you can see how 0VHA.L performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 11, 2025 |
| Price on release | $119.53 |
| EPS estimate | $0.432 |
| EPS actual | $0.97 |
| EPS surprise | 124.72% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 05, 2025 | $120.08 |
| Feb 06, 2025 | $120.89 |
| Feb 07, 2025 | $117.69 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $121.43 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $119.53 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $117.96 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $127.36 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | $126.54 |
| Feb 17, 2025 | $126.54 |
| 4 days before | -0.458% |
| 4 days after | 5.86% |
| On release day | -1.31% |
| Change in period | 5.38% |
| Release date | May 08, 2025 |
| Price on release | $93.02 |
| EPS estimate | $0.253 |
| EPS actual | -$0.526 |
| EPS surprise | -308.02% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| May 02, 2025 | $99.67 |
| May 05, 2025 | $98.43 |
| May 06, 2025 | $93.68 |
| May 07, 2025 | $95.11 |
| May 08, 2025 | $93.02 |
| May 09, 2025 | $91.37 |
| May 12, 2025 | $104.74 |
| May 13, 2025 | $107.81 |
| May 14, 2025 | $110.04 |
| 4 days before | -6.67% |
| 4 days after | 18.30% |
| On release day | -1.77% |
| Change in period | 10.40% |
| Release date | Aug 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $151.47 |
| EPS estimate | $0.291 |
| EPS actual | $0.704 |
| EPS surprise | 141.84% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2025 | $124.05 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $116.40 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $123.64 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $126.06 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $151.47 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $150.73 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $149.31 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $151.22 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $150.02 |
| 4 days before | 22.11% |
| 4 days after | -0.96% |
| On release day | -0.489% |
| Change in period | 20.93% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $166.27 |
| EPS estimate | $0.337 |
| EPS actual | $0.344 |
| EPS surprise | 2.11% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | $181.06 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $177.08 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $172.48 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $172.50 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $166.27 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $165.15 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $156.57 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $149.11 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $158.89 |
| 4 days before | -8.17% |
| 4 days after | -4.44% |
| On release day | -0.671% |
| Change in period | -12.24% |
Shopify Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
Shopify reported a strong Q3 2025 with continued balanced growth and profitability. Key financials: GMV was $92B (up 32% YoY), revenue grew 32% YoY, and Q3 free cash flow margin was 18%; pro forma cash after subsequent convert settlement is about $6B with no debt. Merchant Solutions drove outperformance (Payments penetration reached 65% and Shop Pay processed ~$29B in the quarter), while Subscription Solutions grew more modestly (MRR +10% YoY, Plus plans now 35% of MRR). Gross margin compression was noted (overall 48.9%) driven by mix shift toward Merchant Solutions, higher hosting and AI costs, and partnership dynamics, but operating leverage improved (opex 37% of revenue, down from prior years). Product and strategic highlights: AI is central to Shopify’s strategy — Sidekick adoption accelerated (750k new shops in Q3, ~100M merchant conversations to date) and Shopify launched Commerce-for-Agents tooling (Catalog, Universal Cart, Checkout Kit) with partnerships including OpenAI/ChatGPT, Microsoft Copilot and Perplexity to enable agentic commerce. International momentum remains strong (international GMV +41% YoY; Europe a standout), payments and fulfillment integrations expanded (new carrier & fulfillment partners and DDP capabilities), B2B GMV nearly doubled (+98% YoY), and offline/retail-first GMV grew 31% YoY. Enterprise traction continued with marquee signings (Estée Lauder, e.l.f., Michael Kors, etc.), often landing via checkout/payments and expanding to full-stack adoption. Operational notes: increased payments and capital loss rates were a headwind this quarter but are already improving; management expects Q4 revenue growth in the mid-to-high 20s and gross profit dollars growth in the low-to-mid 20s, with Q4 opex guidance ~30–31% of revenue and FCF margin slightly above Q3. Tariff impacts remain limited based on Shopify’s internal data. Overall, Shopify emphasizes scale, merchant-first product execution, AI-driven product velocity, and consistent free cash flow generation while continuing to invest in growth opportunities globally.
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