American Financial Group Earnings Calls
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $2.52 |
| EPS actual | $2.58 |
| EPS Surprise | 2.38% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.978B |
| Revenue actual | 2.27B |
| Revenue Surprise | 14.76% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $2.08 |
| EPS actual | $2.08 |
| Revenue estimate | 1.712B |
| Revenue actual | 1.924B |
| Revenue Surprise | 12.41% |
| Release date | May 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $2.03 |
| EPS actual | $1.84 |
| EPS Surprise | -9.36% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.698B |
| Revenue actual | 1.856B |
| Revenue Surprise | 9.30% |
| Release date | Feb 25, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | $3.04 |
| Revenue estimate | - |
| Revenue actual | 2.264B |
Last 4 Quarters for American Financial Group
Below you can see how AFGD performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 25, 2025 |
| Price on release | $22.16 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | $3.04 |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | $21.95 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $21.97 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | $21.93 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $21.92 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $22.16 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $22.08 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $22.04 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | $21.90 |
| Mar 03, 2025 | $21.94 |
| 4 days before | 0.96% |
| 4 days after | -0.99% |
| On release day | -0.361% |
| Change in period | -0.0456% |
| Release date | May 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $20.40 |
| EPS estimate | $2.03 |
| EPS actual | $1.84 |
| EPS surprise | -9.36% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | $20.51 |
| May 01, 2025 | $20.56 |
| May 02, 2025 | $20.55 |
| May 05, 2025 | $20.50 |
| May 06, 2025 | $20.40 |
| May 07, 2025 | $20.44 |
| May 08, 2025 | $20.36 |
| May 09, 2025 | $20.40 |
| May 12, 2025 | $20.37 |
| 4 days before | -0.536% |
| 4 days after | -0.147% |
| On release day | 0.196% |
| Change in period | -0.683% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $21.21 |
| EPS estimate | $2.08 |
| EPS actual | $2.08 |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | $21.05 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $21.05 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $21.07 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $21.48 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $21.21 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $21.27 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $21.16 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $21.23 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $21.20 |
| 4 days before | 0.769% |
| 4 days after | -0.0396% |
| On release day | 0.282% |
| Change in period | 0.729% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $21.95 |
| EPS estimate | $2.52 |
| EPS actual | $2.58 |
| EPS surprise | 2.38% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | $21.90 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $21.90 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $22.01 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $22.39 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $21.95 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $21.93 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $21.86 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $21.84 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $22.07 |
| 4 days before | 0.228% |
| 4 days after | 0.547% |
| On release day | -0.0911% |
| Change in period | 0.776% |
American Financial Group Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
AFG reported solid 2025 Q3 results: core net operating earnings of $2.69 per share, up 16% year-over-year, and an annualized core operating ROE of 19%. Net investment income in the P&C operations rose ~5% YoY driven by higher interest rates and asset balances; roughly two-thirds of the $16.8–$17B portfolio is in fixed maturities yielding about 5.25% with a P&C fixed-maturity duration of 2.7 years. Alternative investments returned ~6.2% in the quarter (management expects longer-term returns averaging ~10%+). Management increased the regular quarterly dividend 10% to $0.88 and declared a $2.00 special dividend (~$167M), noting $54/share ($4.6B) of special dividends since 2021. AFG generated underwriting strength across its Specialty P&C segments: overall Specialty P&C combined ratio of 93% in Q3 (improving vs. prior year), Property & Transportation ~94.1%, Specialty & Casualty ~95.8% (pressures from certain lines), and Specialty Financial ~81.1%. Reported premium trends: full-year 2025 premium growth still expected in low single digits; Q3 renewal pricing averaged ~5% overall (higher in many specialty lines, excluding comp ~8%), with certain social-inflation-exposed lines seeing mid-teens renewal increases. Crop insurance seasonality affected quarter-to-quarter premium timing and will resolve more fully in Q4. Management emphasizes capital flexibility (special dividends, buybacks opportunistically, acquisitions) and confidence in underwriting discipline and the investment team to drive long-term shareholder value.
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