GFL Environmental Earnings Calls
| Release date | Apr 29, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0500 |
| EPS actual | $0.0600 |
| EPS Surprise | 20.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.171B |
| Revenue actual | 1.182B |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.96% |
| Release date | Feb 11, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.140 |
| EPS actual | $0.260 |
| EPS Surprise | 85.71% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.213B |
| Revenue actual | 1.228B |
| Revenue Surprise | 1.22% |
| Release date | Nov 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.190 |
| EPS actual | $0.170 |
| EPS Surprise | -10.53% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.666B |
| Revenue actual | 1.215B |
| Revenue Surprise | -27.09% |
| Release date | Jul 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.190 |
| EPS actual | $0.190 |
| Revenue estimate | 1.69B |
| Revenue actual | 1.23B |
| Revenue Surprise | -27.23% |
Last 4 Quarters for GFL Environmental
Below you can see how GFL performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $47.60 |
| EPS estimate | $0.190 |
| EPS actual | $0.190 |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | $48.03 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $48.22 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $48.13 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $48.75 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $47.60 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $50.34 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $49.78 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $50.50 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $50.19 |
| 4 days before | -0.90% |
| 4 days after | 5.44% |
| On release day | 5.76% |
| Change in period | 4.50% |
| Release date | Nov 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $43.87 |
| EPS estimate | $0.190 |
| EPS actual | $0.170 |
| EPS surprise | -10.53% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | $43.76 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $43.69 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $43.77 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $43.66 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $43.87 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $43.87 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $42.96 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $43.78 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $43.51 |
| 4 days before | 0.251% |
| 4 days after | -0.82% |
| On release day | 0% |
| Change in period | -0.571% |
| Release date | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Price on release | $44.05 |
| EPS estimate | $0.140 |
| EPS actual | $0.260 |
| EPS surprise | 85.71% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 05, 2026 | $42.23 |
| Feb 06, 2026 | $42.52 |
| Feb 09, 2026 | $43.09 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | $43.14 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $44.05 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $41.33 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | $43.31 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $43.30 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $43.33 |
| 4 days before | 4.31% |
| 4 days after | -1.63% |
| On release day | -6.17% |
| Change in period | 2.60% |
| Release date | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Price on release | $40.34 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0500 |
| EPS actual | $0.0600 |
| EPS surprise | 20.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | $40.36 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | $40.41 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | $39.67 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $40.15 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $40.34 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $40.11 |
| May 01, 2026 | $38.50 |
| May 04, 2026 | $37.71 |
| May 05, 2026 | $36.99 |
| 4 days before | -0.0496% |
| 4 days after | -8.30% |
| On release day | -0.570% |
| Change in period | -8.35% |
GFL Environmental Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
GFL reported a stronger-than-expected Q1 2026. Key financials: adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to a Q1 record 29.1% (up 180 bps YoY) driven by stronger pricing (7.0% in the quarter), volume resilience (special waste and EPR offset weaker C&D and winter storms), and continued cost intensity improvements (fifth consecutive quarter of lower operational and SG&A cost intensity). Management raised full-year 2026 guidance to reflect eight acquisitions closed year-to-date: revenue $7.32–7.34B, adjusted EBITDA $2.23B, and adjusted free cash flow $850M. Q2 outlook: revenue ~$1.89–1.90B and adjusted EBITDA margin ~30.4%; Q2 adjusted FCF ~ $225M. M&A remains a core growth lever — Frontier (Texas footprint densification) closed and the proposed SECURE Waste Infrastructure acquisition (Western Canada disposal/post-collection network) was highlighted as strategically highly complementary with material synergy potential (SG&A + operational + revenue synergies, total incremental opportunity cited at $25M–$50M above already identified $25M SG&A savings). Management sees a pipeline to deploy an incremental $300M–$500M of M&A before year-end (and on a combined SECURE pro forma basis, substantially larger deployment capacity). Key drivers/risks: commodity prices have risen recently (~$15/ton above initial outlook); every $10/ton commodity move = ~$6M annual revenue/EBITDA sensitivity. Diesel spiked, creating a ~$10M headwind to Q1 vs. guidance (mostly recovered via fuel surcharges over time; expected to be offset by end of Q2, though surcharges introduce margin timing effects). Net leverage 3.6x at quarter-end (3.5x on average FX); near-term leverage will tick up modestly for Q2 acquisitions and is expected to return to mid-3s by year-end. RNG and EPR programs remain on track (RNG target ~$125M run-rate eventually; modest contribution in 2026), and EPR capex largely winding down with continued revenue/price benefits in Canada. Management reiterated commitment to disciplined leverage (3.0–3.5x) and return-focused capital deployment, noting potential for increased share buybacks once scale and free cash flow allow. Regulatory/timing: SECURE acquisition faces shareholder vote and regulatory process (management expects a 3–5 month timeline to close if approved).
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