GFL Environmental Earnings Calls
| Release date | Nov 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.190 |
| EPS actual | $0.170 |
| EPS Surprise | -10.53% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.666B |
| Revenue actual | 1.215B |
| Revenue Surprise | -27.09% |
| Release date | Jul 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.190 |
| EPS actual | $0.190 |
| Revenue estimate | 1.69B |
| Revenue actual | 1.23B |
| Revenue Surprise | -27.23% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0400 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0600 |
| EPS Surprise | -250.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.524B |
| Revenue actual | 1.095B |
| Revenue Surprise | -28.10% |
| Release date | Feb 24, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.130 |
| EPS actual | $0.160 |
| EPS Surprise | 23.08% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.979B |
| Revenue actual | 1.38B |
| Revenue Surprise | -30.27% |
Last 4 Quarters for GFL Environmental
Below you can see how GFL performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Price on release | $46.00 |
| EPS estimate | $0.130 |
| EPS actual | $0.160 |
| EPS surprise | 23.08% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2025 | $46.22 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $46.66 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $46.21 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | $46.33 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $46.00 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $43.98 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $44.36 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $43.04 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | $45.16 |
| 4 days before | -0.476% |
| 4 days after | -1.83% |
| On release day | -4.39% |
| Change in period | -2.29% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $49.90 |
| EPS estimate | $0.0400 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0600 |
| EPS surprise | -250.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | $48.81 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $48.99 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $48.58 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $49.91 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $49.90 |
| May 01, 2025 | $49.84 |
| May 02, 2025 | $50.40 |
| May 05, 2025 | $51.58 |
| May 06, 2025 | $51.03 |
| 4 days before | 2.23% |
| 4 days after | 2.26% |
| On release day | -0.120% |
| Change in period | 4.55% |
| Release date | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $47.60 |
| EPS estimate | $0.190 |
| EPS actual | $0.190 |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | $48.03 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $48.22 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $48.13 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $48.75 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $47.60 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $50.34 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $49.78 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $50.50 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $50.19 |
| 4 days before | -0.90% |
| 4 days after | 5.44% |
| On release day | 5.76% |
| Change in period | 4.50% |
| Release date | Nov 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $43.87 |
| EPS estimate | $0.190 |
| EPS actual | $0.170 |
| EPS surprise | -10.53% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | $43.76 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $43.69 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $43.77 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $43.66 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $43.87 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $43.87 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $42.96 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $43.78 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $43.51 |
| 4 days before | 0.251% |
| 4 days after | -0.82% |
| On release day | 0% |
| Change in period | -0.571% |
GFL Environmental Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
Q3 2025 highlights: GFL delivered record profitability with adjusted EBITDA margin of 31.6% and consolidated revenue growth of ~9% year-over-year driven by stronger pricing (pricing accelerated to ~6.3%) and positive volume trends (MSW and EPR-related upsides offset softer C&D/special waste). Management raised full‑year guidance: revenue now expected between $6.575B–$6.6B and adjusted EBITDA about $1.975B; adjusted free cash flow remains targeted at ~$750M. M&A activity remains robust (nearly $650M deployed year‑to‑date, ~$50M after quarter end) with additional deals expected to close into H1 2026 and a meaningful pipeline for 2026. Strategic transactions included a GIP recapitalization that returned ~$585M to GIP shareholders (GFL received $200M and retains a 30% stake). Capital allocation priorities: aggressive share repurchases ($350M in Q3; ~$2.8B YTD) continue given management’s view that the stock is undervalued, while staying comfortable operating with leverage in the low‑to‑mid 3x range. Operational drivers: ongoing cost discipline, lower labor turnover, realization of ancillary surcharges, and EPR ramping drove ~250 bps of underlying margin expansion. RNG project economics remain intact at the firm’s underwriting RIN assumption ($2.25), though timing was modestly deferred and material production/benefit is expected to accelerate more meaningfully in 2027–2028. Management reiterated confidence in multi‑year growth targets and the ability to deliver further margin expansion.
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