Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Earnings Calls
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$2.04 |
| EPS actual | -$5.08 |
| EPS Surprise | -149.38% |
| Revenue estimate | 244.957M |
| Revenue actual | 287.268M |
| Revenue Surprise | 17.27% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$3.48 |
| EPS actual | -$1.90 |
| EPS Surprise | 45.40% |
| Revenue estimate | 243.466M |
| Revenue actual | 212.802M |
| Revenue Surprise | -12.59% |
| Release date | May 01, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$3.62 |
| EPS actual | -$3.32 |
| EPS Surprise | 8.29% |
| Revenue estimate | 158.932M |
| Revenue actual | 137.25M |
| Revenue Surprise | -13.64% |
| Release date | Feb 26, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$4.32 |
| EPS actual | -$2.71 |
| EPS Surprise | 37.27% |
| Revenue estimate | 97.808M |
| Revenue actual | 103.32M |
| Revenue Surprise | 5.64% |
Last 4 Quarters for Madrigal Pharmaceuticals
Below you can see how MDGL performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Price on release | $355.88 |
| EPS estimate | -$4.32 |
| EPS actual | -$2.71 |
| EPS surprise | 37.27% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2025 | $351.03 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | $336.23 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $322.14 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $309.49 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $355.88 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $335.74 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | $341.27 |
| Mar 03, 2025 | $313.47 |
| Mar 04, 2025 | $321.32 |
| 4 days before | 1.38% |
| 4 days after | -9.71% |
| On release day | -5.66% |
| Change in period | -8.46% |
| Release date | May 01, 2025 |
| Price on release | $327.70 |
| EPS estimate | -$3.62 |
| EPS actual | -$3.32 |
| EPS surprise | 8.29% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | $326.79 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $331.29 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $340.80 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $333.91 |
| May 01, 2025 | $327.70 |
| May 02, 2025 | $315.48 |
| May 05, 2025 | $306.38 |
| May 06, 2025 | $295.13 |
| May 07, 2025 | $298.83 |
| 4 days before | 0.278% |
| 4 days after | -8.81% |
| On release day | -3.73% |
| Change in period | -8.56% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $338.91 |
| EPS estimate | -$3.48 |
| EPS actual | -$1.90 |
| EPS surprise | 45.40% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | $289.88 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $302.51 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $302.17 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $312.11 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $338.91 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $338.11 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $342.29 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $345.73 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $349.50 |
| 4 days before | 16.91% |
| 4 days after | 3.12% |
| On release day | -0.236% |
| Change in period | 20.57% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $444.64 |
| EPS estimate | -$2.04 |
| EPS actual | -$5.08 |
| EPS surprise | -149.38% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | $421.60 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $427.52 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $418.90 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $412.35 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $444.64 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $475.56 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $488.58 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $489.26 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $495.88 |
| 4 days before | 5.46% |
| 4 days after | 11.52% |
| On release day | 6.95% |
| Change in period | 17.62% |
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
Madrigal reported a strong Q3 2025 driven by its launch of Rezdiffra (resmetirom). Net sales were $287.3M (up 35% QoQ), the product is annualizing at >$1B in only its sixth quarter of launch, and >29,500 patients are on therapy with >10,000 prescribers. Management emphasized large remaining opportunity (they target ~315,000 diagnosed moderate–advanced fibrosis patients and estimate >90% remain untreated). Key commercial developments: a new U.S. patent for Rezdiffra was listed in the Orange Book extending protection into 2045; payer contracting for 2026 is progressing with expectations of broad first-line access and no step edits for many plans; gross‑to‑net is expected to step to the midpoint of the 20–30% range in Q4 2025 and move to the high‑30% range starting Q1 2026. International expansion began with a launch in Germany (country-by-country approach). Pipeline and clinical strategy: the Phase III MAESTRO‑NASH outcomes trial in compensated cirrhosis (F4c) is ongoing with an outcomes readout expected in 2027 and the F2/F3 MAESTRO‑NASH readout expected in 2028; management presented encouraging 2‑year open‑label F4c data and plans a Phase I for their acquired oral GLP-1 (MGL‑2086) in H1 2026 to develop an oral fixed‑dose combination with resmetirom. Financials: R&D spiked to $174M (Q3) primarily due to a one-time $117M expense for the global license of MGL‑2086; SG&A rose to $209.1M driven by launch investments; cash and marketable securities totaled ~$1.1B (includes $350M initial term loan). Management reiterated focus on continued patient additions, durable market access, building a combination-capable pipeline, and steady net sales growth in 2026 and beyond.
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