Annaly Capital Earnings Calls
| Release date | Oct 22, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.720 |
| EPS actual | $0.730 |
| EPS Surprise | 1.39% |
| Revenue estimate | 579.234M |
| Revenue actual | 2.157B |
| Revenue Surprise | 272.46% |
| Release date | Jul 23, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.720 |
| EPS actual | $0.730 |
| EPS Surprise | 1.39% |
| Revenue estimate | 493.553M |
| Revenue actual | 1.789B |
| Revenue Surprise | 262.49% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.710 |
| EPS actual | $0.720 |
| EPS Surprise | 1.41% |
| Revenue estimate | 418.521M |
| Revenue actual | 1.443B |
| Revenue Surprise | 244.89% |
| Release date | Jan 29, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.670 |
| EPS actual | $0.720 |
| EPS Surprise | 7.46% |
| Revenue estimate | 422.467M |
| Revenue actual | 527.457M |
| Revenue Surprise | 24.85% |
Last 4 Quarters for Annaly Capital
Below you can see how NLY performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Jan 29, 2025 |
| Price on release | $19.76 |
| EPS estimate | $0.670 |
| EPS actual | $0.720 |
| EPS surprise | 7.46% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | $19.35 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | $19.48 |
| Jan 27, 2025 | $19.84 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | $19.90 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $19.76 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $20.47 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $20.41 |
| Feb 03, 2025 | $20.21 |
| Feb 04, 2025 | $20.50 |
| 4 days before | 2.12% |
| 4 days after | 3.74% |
| On release day | 3.59% |
| Change in period | 5.94% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $19.60 |
| EPS estimate | $0.710 |
| EPS actual | $0.720 |
| EPS surprise | 1.41% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | $18.92 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $19.21 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $19.49 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $19.62 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $19.60 |
| May 01, 2025 | $19.42 |
| May 02, 2025 | $19.32 |
| May 05, 2025 | $19.26 |
| May 06, 2025 | $19.02 |
| 4 days before | 3.59% |
| 4 days after | -2.96% |
| On release day | -0.92% |
| Change in period | 0.529% |
| Release date | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Price on release | $20.45 |
| EPS estimate | $0.720 |
| EPS actual | $0.730 |
| EPS surprise | 1.39% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2025 | $19.72 |
| Jul 18, 2025 | $19.87 |
| Jul 21, 2025 | $19.96 |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $20.40 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $20.45 |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $20.56 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $20.86 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $20.68 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $20.82 |
| 4 days before | 3.70% |
| 4 days after | 1.81% |
| On release day | 0.538% |
| Change in period | 5.58% |
| Release date | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Price on release | $21.30 |
| EPS estimate | $0.720 |
| EPS actual | $0.730 |
| EPS surprise | 1.39% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | $20.51 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | $20.80 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $21.11 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $21.05 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $21.30 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $20.89 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | $20.95 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $21.16 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $21.06 |
| 4 days before | 3.85% |
| 4 days after | -1.13% |
| On release day | -1.92% |
| Change in period | 2.68% |
Annaly Capital Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
Annaly reported a strong Q3 2025 driven by spread tightening, lower interest-rate volatility and active capital deployment. Key financials: economic return of 8.1% for the quarter and 11.5% YTD; EAD (earnings available for distribution) of $0.73 per share, which exceeded the $0.70 dividend; book value rose to $19.25 (up 4.3% QoQ) after the dividend; reported NII yields and margins were stable (average asset yields 5.46%, average repo rate ~4.5%); modest leverage (economic leverage ~5.7x) and ~ $7.4 billion unencumbered assets (≈ $8.8 billion available for financing). Capital raising: $1.1 billion in accretive equity (including $800M ATM) and a preferred issuance restarted the mREIT preferred market. Portfolio positioning and activity: Agency portfolio grew to ~$87B (up ~10% QoQ) with increased allocation to specified pools in higher coupons (5.5%–6%) and continued disciplined hedging (bias to swaps); Residential Credit (Onslow Bay) expanded—$6.9B economic market value, $3.9B of transactions closed in Q3 and 24 deals YTD ($12.4B UPB), making Annaly a leading nonbank issuer; MSR portfolio grew to $3.5B market value ($2.9B of firm capital), with purchases across bulk and flow and low CPRs/sub-5 CPR recent prepayment experience. Outlook & risk posture: management remains constructive on Agencies (better technicals, expected Fed cuts), prefers to keep a diversified housing finance platform, and is maintaining low leverage, significant liquidity and a conservative rate/duration stance (near-flat duration gap and ~92% hedge ratio). They plan to opportunistically grow Residential Credit and MSR but remain patient on rebalancing back toward a ~40% combined Resi+MSR weighting. Key near-term considerations for investors: sensitivity to rate moves and volatility (hedging costs/convexity), possible seasonal mortgage activity into year-end, MSR bulk supply dynamics, and how any policy or bank demand shifts could affect Agency technicals.
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