Republic Services Earnings Calls
| Release date | Oct 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.83 |
| EPS actual | $1.90 |
| EPS Surprise | 3.83% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.238B |
| Revenue actual | 4.212B |
| Revenue Surprise | -0.620% |
| Release date | Jul 29, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.77 |
| EPS actual | $1.77 |
| Revenue estimate | 4.255B |
| Revenue actual | 4.235B |
| Revenue Surprise | -0.477% |
| Release date | Apr 24, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.53 |
| EPS actual | $1.58 |
| EPS Surprise | 3.27% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.045B |
| Revenue actual | 4.009B |
| Revenue Surprise | -0.90% |
| Release date | Feb 13, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.40 |
| EPS actual | $1.58 |
| EPS Surprise | 12.86% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.073B |
| Revenue actual | 4.046B |
| Revenue Surprise | -0.672% |
Last 4 Quarters for Republic Services
Below you can see how RSG performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Price on release | $224.49 |
| EPS estimate | $1.40 |
| EPS actual | $1.58 |
| EPS surprise | 12.86% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 07, 2025 | $221.07 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $222.10 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $223.25 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $223.50 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $224.49 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | $231.37 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $228.55 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $229.66 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $230.86 |
| 4 days before | 1.55% |
| 4 days after | 2.84% |
| On release day | 3.06% |
| Change in period | 4.43% |
| Release date | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Price on release | $240.76 |
| EPS estimate | $1.53 |
| EPS actual | $1.58 |
| EPS surprise | 3.27% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | $243.28 |
| Apr 21, 2025 | $238.37 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $242.57 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $241.22 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $240.76 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $243.56 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $246.11 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $247.70 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $250.75 |
| 4 days before | -1.04% |
| 4 days after | 4.15% |
| On release day | 1.16% |
| Change in period | 3.07% |
| Release date | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Price on release | $246.01 |
| EPS estimate | $1.77 |
| EPS actual | $1.77 |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2025 | $243.27 |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $245.11 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $245.16 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $241.41 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $246.01 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $231.69 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $230.65 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $231.21 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $231.71 |
| 4 days before | 1.13% |
| 4 days after | -5.81% |
| On release day | -5.82% |
| Change in period | -4.75% |
| Release date | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $209.92 |
| EPS estimate | $1.83 |
| EPS actual | $1.90 |
| EPS surprise | 3.83% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | $223.09 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $221.04 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $217.73 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $210.50 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $209.92 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $208.24 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $205.28 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $207.74 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $206.43 |
| 4 days before | -5.90% |
| 4 days after | -1.66% |
| On release day | -0.80% |
| Change in period | -7.47% |
Republic Services Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
Republic Services delivered a solid Q3 2025 driven by disciplined pricing, operational execution and portfolio strength. Key financials: revenue +3.3%, adjusted EBITDA +6.1% with EBITDA margin expanding 80 bps to 32.8%, adjusted EPS $1.90, and year-to-date adjusted free cash flow of $2.19 billion. Core pricing remained strong (core price on total revenue 5.9%; on related revenue 7.2%) while average yield on related revenue was 4.9%. Volumes were mixed: collection volumes declined (residential shedding, softer construction/manufacturing), while C&D and special waste rose due to event-driven activity (hurricane/wildfire cleanup contributing ~$100M YTD revenue). Environmental Solutions (ES) saw notable weakness — revenue down ~$32M YoY and EBITDA margin at 20.3% — from softness in manufacturing, lower event/E&P activity and fewer emergency response jobs, though management says demand stabilized late in the quarter and pipeline is expanding. Sustainability and innovation progress: commercial production began at the Indianapolis Polymer Center; Blue Polymers JV expected to start late Q4; six RNG projects started YTD (seven expected in 2025); fleet electrification advancing (137 EVs in service, >150 expected by year-end; 32 sites with commercial EV charging). Capital allocation: >$1B in strategic acquisitions YTD, returned $1.13B to shareholders YTD (dividends + buybacks), total debt $13.4B, liquidity $2.7B, leverage ~2.5x; capex YTD $1.18B (62% of full-year plan). Outlook/strategy: management reiterates a long-term algorithm of mid-single-digit revenue growth with EBITDA, EPS and free cash flow growing faster and 30–50 bps of EBITDA margin expansion per year; 2026 guidance not provided yet, but management warns of tougher comps ( ~$100M of event-driven landfill revenue at high incremental margin in 2025 that won’t repeat) and expects price/cost spread to remain positive (they expect yields ~75–100 bps above cost inflation). M&A pipeline remains active, tilted toward Recycling & Waste but with opportunities in ES; buybacks are opportunistic and expected to continue.
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