Two Harbors Investment Earnings Calls
| Release date | Oct 27, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.362 |
| EPS actual | $0.360 |
| EPS Surprise | -0.635% |
| Revenue estimate | -27007600 |
| Revenue actual | -23505000 |
| Revenue Surprise | 12.97% |
| Release date | Jul 28, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.347 |
| EPS actual | -$2.49 |
| EPS Surprise | -817.22% |
| Revenue estimate | -20632400 |
| Revenue actual | -14669000 |
| Revenue Surprise | 28.90% |
| Release date | Apr 28, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.402 |
| EPS actual | -$0.760 |
| EPS Surprise | -289.13% |
| Revenue estimate | -30321800 |
| Revenue actual | 260.334M |
| Revenue Surprise | 958.57% |
| Release date | Jan 27, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.402 |
| EPS actual | $2.67 |
| EPS Surprise | 564.51% |
| Revenue estimate | -23909570 |
| Revenue actual | 219.448M |
| Revenue Surprise | 1,017.82% |
Last 4 Quarters for Two Harbors Investment
Below you can see how TWO-PA performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Jan 27, 2025 |
| Price on release | $24.65 |
| EPS estimate | $0.402 |
| EPS actual | $2.67 |
| EPS surprise | 564.51% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | $24.44 |
| Jan 22, 2025 | $24.17 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | $24.37 |
| Jan 24, 2025 | $24.50 |
| Jan 27, 2025 | $24.65 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | $24.60 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | $24.63 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $24.56 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $24.30 |
| 4 days before | 0.86% |
| 4 days after | -1.42% |
| On release day | -0.203% |
| Change in period | -0.573% |
| Release date | Apr 28, 2025 |
| Price on release | $23.79 |
| EPS estimate | $0.402 |
| EPS actual | -$0.760 |
| EPS surprise | -289.13% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2025 | $23.25 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $23.43 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $23.25 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $23.41 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $23.79 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $23.78 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $23.72 |
| May 01, 2025 | $23.77 |
| May 02, 2025 | $24.10 |
| 4 days before | 2.32% |
| 4 days after | 1.30% |
| On release day | -0.0429% |
| Change in period | 3.66% |
| Release date | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Price on release | $23.21 |
| EPS estimate | $0.347 |
| EPS actual | -$2.49 |
| EPS surprise | -817.22% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2025 | $23.02 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $23.16 |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $23.17 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $23.19 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $23.21 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $23.13 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $23.14 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $23.18 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $23.17 |
| 4 days before | 0.81% |
| 4 days after | -0.168% |
| On release day | -0.340% |
| Change in period | 0.636% |
| Release date | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Price on release | $23.25 |
| EPS estimate | $0.362 |
| EPS actual | $0.360 |
| EPS surprise | -0.635% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | $23.37 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $23.34 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $23.35 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | $23.40 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $23.25 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $23.30 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $23.20 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $23.22 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $23.30 |
| 4 days before | -0.515% |
| 4 days after | 0.215% |
| On release day | 0.215% |
| Change in period | -0.301% |
Two Harbors Investment Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
TWO reported Q3 2025 results dominated by a $375 million one-time settlement with its former external manager (recorded as a $175.1 million incremental litigation expense in Q3), which reduced book value and temporarily increased the company’s expense ratio. Management funded the payment with portfolio sales, cash, and available borrowings and ended the quarter with approximately $770.5 million of cash and ample liquidity. They sold MSR positions (roughly $19.1B UPB in Q3 plus ~ $10B settling in Q4) on a servicing-retained basis to seed a large subservicing relationship, bringing third‑party subservicing UPB to ~ $40B and reinforcing RoundPoint as a growing subservicer. The company will redeem $262M UPB of convertible notes at maturity in January 2026, reducing structural leverage; they plan to fund the redemption from cash and MSR facilities. Portfolio adjustments were made pro rata to reflect the lower capital base; despite some increase in economic leverage, spread sensitivity and other risk measures were reduced. Core business highlights include record DTC locks in September, $49M funded from DTC originations in the quarter (plus $52M pipeline), strong RMBS performance in Q3, and MSR portfolio characteristics that remain largely out‑of‑the‑money at current rates. Management reiterated confidence in the MSR + agency RMBS strategy, sees attractive prospective static returns (securities: ~15–19%; servicing: ~11–14%; prospective common equity static return range after capital structure ~9.5–15.2%), and believes the stock is materially undervalued versus book value once litigation is behind them. Cost-reduction and technology/AI initiatives are underway to offset the higher expense ratio from the settlement, with more detail to come.
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