American Airlines Stock Forecast
American Airlines stock price ended at $14.13 on Thursday, after gaining 1.51%.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The American Airlines stock price gained 1.51% on the last trading day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024), rising from $13.92 to $14.13. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.17% from a day low at $13.45 to a day high of $14.28. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.74% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 18 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 58 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $820.49 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -7.35% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.85 and $13.41 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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AAL Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The American Airlines stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $14.21. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $14.12. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 22, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Airlines stock
American Airlines finds support from accumulated volume at $14.11 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.83 between high and low, or 6.17%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.08%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AAL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect American Airlines Group to open at $13.95, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $13.61 and $14.65, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.519 (+/-3.68%) up or down from last closing price. If American Airlines Group takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $14.11 (0.14%) than the resistance at $14.23 (0.71%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is American Airlines Group stock A Buy?
American Airlines holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.659 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for American Airlines Group of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $13.95 ( 1.25%) | $14.13 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AAL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 14.78 | 4.62 % | |
| R2 | 14.47 | 2.38 % | ||
| R1 | 14.27 | 0.99 % | ||
| Current price: | 14.13 | |||
| Support | S1 | 13.64 | -3.49 % | |
| S2 | 13.44 | -4.88 % | ||
| S3 | 13.12 | -7.12 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 15.13 | 7.08 % | |
| R2 | 14.90 | 5.45 % | ||
| R1 | 14.23 | 0.708 % | ||
| Current price | 14.13 | |||
| Support | S1 | 14.11 | -0.142% | |
| S2 | 13.96 | -1.20% | ||
| S3 | 13.89 | -1.70% |
AAL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 22, 2020 | Feb 04, 2020 | Feb 19, 2020 | $0.100 | 0.353% |
| 2 | Oct 22, 2019 | Nov 05, 2019 | Nov 20, 2019 | $0.100 | 0.354% |
| 3 | Jul 25, 2019 | Aug 06, 2019 | Aug 21, 2019 | $0.100 | 0.379% |
| 4 | Apr 26, 2019 | May 07, 2019 | May 22, 2019 | $0.100 | 0.334% |
| 5 | Jan 24, 2019 | Feb 05, 2019 | Feb 20, 2019 | $0.100 | 0.285% |
FAQ
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