American Airlines Earnings Calls
| Release date | Apr 23, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.450 |
| EPS actual | -$0.400 |
| EPS Surprise | 11.11% |
| Revenue estimate | 13.792B |
| Revenue actual | 13.912B |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.87% |
| Release date | Jan 27, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.380 |
| EPS actual | $0.160 |
| EPS Surprise | -57.89% |
| Revenue estimate | 14.028B |
| Revenue actual | 13.999B |
| Revenue Surprise | -0.208% |
| Release date | Oct 23, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.278 |
| EPS actual | -$0.170 |
| EPS Surprise | 38.94% |
| Revenue estimate | 13.627B |
| Revenue actual | 13.691B |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.469% |
| Release date | Jul 24, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.780 |
| EPS actual | $0.95 |
| EPS Surprise | 21.79% |
| Revenue estimate | 14.295B |
| Revenue actual | 14.392B |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.682% |
Last 4 Quarters for American Airlines
Below you can see how AAL performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Jul 24, 2025 |
| Price on release | $11.46 |
| EPS estimate | $0.780 |
| EPS actual | $0.95 |
| EPS surprise | 21.79% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2025 | $12.51 |
| Jul 21, 2025 | $12.32 |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $12.50 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $12.68 |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $11.46 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $11.50 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $11.58 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $11.42 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $11.51 |
| 4 days before | -8.39% |
| 4 days after | 0.436% |
| On release day | 0.349% |
| Change in period | -7.99% |
| Release date | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Price on release | $12.77 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.278 |
| EPS actual | -$0.170 |
| EPS surprise | 38.94% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | $11.86 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $12.17 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $12.35 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $12.09 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $12.77 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | $13.78 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $13.41 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $12.71 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $12.97 |
| 4 days before | 7.67% |
| 4 days after | 1.57% |
| On release day | 7.91% |
| Change in period | 9.36% |
| Release date | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Price on release | $13.55 |
| EPS estimate | $0.380 |
| EPS actual | $0.160 |
| EPS surprise | -57.89% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | $15.15 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | $15.02 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | $14.67 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | $14.57 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | $13.55 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | $13.44 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $13.51 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | $13.30 |
| Feb 02, 2026 | $13.69 |
| 4 days before | -10.56% |
| 4 days after | 1.03% |
| On release day | -0.81% |
| Change in period | -9.64% |
| Release date | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Price on release | $11.78 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.450 |
| EPS actual | -$0.400 |
| EPS surprise | 11.11% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | $12.78 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | $12.24 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | $11.77 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | $11.50 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | $11.78 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | $12.10 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | $11.68 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $11.64 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $11.31 |
| 4 days before | -7.82% |
| 4 days after | -3.99% |
| On release day | 2.72% |
| Change in period | -11.50% |
American Airlines Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
Key investor takeaways from American Airlines Q1 2026 earnings call:
- Strong revenue momentum: Total revenue grew 10.8% year-over-year in Q1, with record weekly revenue intake (9 highest weeks in company history). Management expects Q2 revenue growth of ~13.5%–16.5% (they cited ~15% as the midpoint) and strong domestic unit revenue acceleration (>10% y/y in Q2). International performance was led by the Atlantic (quarterly unit revenue +16.7%) and solid results in Pacific; Latin America was mixed but improving.
- Fuel is the primary near-term headwind: Q1 included a ~$400 million adverse fuel impact versus the forward curve (January) and management now assumes ~ $4/gal fuel in Q2 (based on Apr 20 curve). They estimate partial fuel recapture (40–50% in Q2, rising to 75–85% in Q3 and high 80s–90s by Q4 if fuel remains elevated).
- Profit and guidance: Excluding special items, Q1 adjusted EPS was a loss of $0.40. For Q2, adjusted EPS guidance is between a loss of $0.20 and earnings of $0.20. Full-year guidance midpoint is $0.35 per share (roughly flat to 2025) despite an incremental ~ $4 billion of fuel expense year-over-year. Management said that, assuming the current forward fuel curve, they expect profitability in 2026.
- Cost and margin progress: Pretax margin improved ~2 points y/y in Q1. CASM ex (excluding fuel, profit sharing and special items) rose 5.2% in Q1; Q2 CASM ex guidance is +2% to +4% y/y. Management continues a multi-year transformation delivering ~ $1 billion of annual operating savings to date, with an incremental > $200 million of savings expected in 2026.
- Capacity, fleet and CapEx: Q2 capacity is ~1 point below prior plans (suspensions to Tel Aviv/Doha, reductions in Chicago and other marginal flying). Full-year aircraft deliveries lowered to 49 (from 55), reducing 2026 CapEx by ~ $300 million; total 2026 CapEx now expected to be ~ $4 billion. Deliveries include 12 B787-9s in premium configuration and additional A321XLRs.
- Balance sheet & liquidity: Ended Q1 with nearly $11 billion of available liquidity, > $27 billion of unencumbered assets & first lien borrowing capacity. Total debt was $34.7 billion (down $1.8 billion in the quarter), first time below $35B since mid-2015.
- Commercial & product initiatives: Management reiterated the four strategic pillars — elevating customer experience, growing the global network, driving premium revenue, and leading in loyalty. Premium seats (lie-flat & premium economy) are growing faster than main cabin; paid premium load factors are at record levels (≈ +10 points vs 2019). AAdvantage enrollments rose 25% y/y in Q1; co-brand card acquisitions set records and card spend increased 9% y/y.
- Network & operations: Major operational investments (e.g., DFW rebanking to 13 banks) are showing early reliability gains and better connection performance. Management plans hub investments (DFW Terminal F in 2027, Miami Concourse D redevelopment, LAX Terminals 4 & 5 by 2028) and aims for ~200 international-capable aircraft by decade end. They will be responsive with capacity beyond the summer peak depending on fuel and demand.
- Capital allocation posture: Management emphasized disciplined capital allocation, balance sheet improvement and readiness to pursue strategic opportunities (organic growth, partnerships, or M&A if appropriate), while noting antitrust/competition considerations for large combinations.
Risks highlighted on the call: sustained high jet fuel prices, near-term weather/operational disruptions (Q1 storms cost ~ $320M revenue), and the usual demand sensitivity to price and macro conditions.
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