Tesla Stock Forecast
Tesla stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on May 07, 2024)
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -13.55% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $118.14 and $165.22 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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TSLA Signals & Forecast
The Tesla stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $183.01. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $169.99. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 29, 2024, and so far it has fallen -8.37%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tesla stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $164.90 and $162.50. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Tesla finds support just below today's level at $164.90. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $162.50 and $162.13.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $5.85 between high and low, or 3.30%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.69%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TSLA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 8th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 8th we expect Tesla Inc. to open at $179.49, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $168.63 and $186.99, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$9.18 (+/-5.16%) up or down from last closing price. If Tesla Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.33% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $183.28 (3.08%) than the support at $164.90 (7.26%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Tesla Inc. stock A Buy?
Tesla holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.469 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Tesla Inc. of Wednesday, May 8, 2024
Fair opening price May 8, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$179.49 ( 0.94%) | $177.81 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TSLA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 185.34 | 4.23 % | |
R2 | 183.10 | 2.98 % | ||
R1 | 181.72 | 2.20 % | ||
Current price: | 177.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 177.25 | -0.314 % | |
S2 | 175.87 | -1.09 % | ||
S3 | 173.64 | -2.35 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 194.05 | 9.13 % | |
R2 | 188.14 | 5.81 % | ||
R1 | 183.28 | 3.08 % | ||
Current price | 177.81 | |||
Support | S1 | 164.90 | -7.26% | |
S2 | 162.50 | -8.61% | ||
S3 | 162.13 | -8.82% |
FAQ
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