Tesla Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 08, 2025 Gain 19.14%

The Tesla stock price decreased by -0.498% on the previous trading day (Friday, 23rd May 2025), dropping from $341.04 to $339.34. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.99%, ranging from a day low of $333.21 to a day high of $343.18. The price has increased on 6 out of the last 10 days and has risen by 13.76% in the past 2 weeks. On the last trading day, the volume declined alongside the stock price, which is generally a positive indicator as volume typically aligns with stock movement. Specifically, the trading volume decreased by -13 million shares, resulting in a total of 84 million shares traded for an approximate value of $28.36 billion.

The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $354.71 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 20.17% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $327.15 and $426.25 at the end of this 3-month period.

TSLA Signals & Forecast

The Tesla stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $341.92. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $284.50. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 16, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.04%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tesla stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $284.95 and $282.76. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Tesla finds support just below today's level at $284.95. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $282.76 and $272.20.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $9.97 between high and low, or 2.99%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.82%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $324.37 (-4.41%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (TSLA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 27th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 27th we expect Tesla Inc. to open at $338.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $323.17 and $355.51, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$16.17 (+/-4.76%) up or down from last closing price. If Tesla Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.53% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $342.80 (1.02%) than the support at $284.95 (16.03%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Tesla Inc. stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Tesla stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.407 Buy Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on May 27, 2025 - $338.58 ( 0.225%).