ExlService Holdings Stock Forecast
ExlService Holdings stock price up 0.752% on Thursday
(Updated on May 16, 2024)
The ExlService Holdings stock price gained 0.752% on the last trading day (Thursday, 16th May 2024), rising from $30.59 to $30.82. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.93% from a day low at $30.59 to a day high of $31.18. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.63% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -170 thousand shares and in total, 818 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $25.20 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.31% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $27.48 and $30.30 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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EXLS Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The ExlService Holdings stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $30.58 and $30.09. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has risen 6.28%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ExlService Holdings stock
ExlService Holdings finds support from accumulated volume at $29.96 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.590 (1.93%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.88%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $29.53 (-4.18%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (EXLS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect ExlService Holdings to open at $30.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $30.12 and $31.52, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.697 (+/-2.26%) up or down from last closing price. If ExlService Holdings takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.52% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $31.12 (0.97%) than the support at $29.96 (2.79%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is ExlService Holdings stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 2.702 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for ExlService Holdings of Friday, May 17, 2024
| Fair opening price May 17, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $30.86 ( 0.141%) | $30.82 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for EXLS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 31.45 | 2.05 % | |
| R2 | 31.23 | 1.32 % | ||
| R1 | 31.09 | 0.87 % | ||
| Current price: | 30.82 | |||
| Support | S1 | 30.64 | -0.591 % | |
| S2 | 30.50 | -1.04 % | ||
| S3 | 30.27 | -1.77 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 31.80 | 3.18 % | |
| R2 | 31.28 | 1.49 % | ||
| R1 | 31.12 | 0.97 % | ||
| Current price | 30.82 | |||
| Support | S1 | 29.96 | -2.79% | |
| S2 | 29.85 | -3.15% | ||
| S3 | 29.57 | -4.06% |
FAQ
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