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This is a weekly series focused on analyzing the previous week’s economic data releases. The objective is to concentrate on leading indicators of economic activity to determine whether the economy i
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index is near seven-month highs and was led today by more than 1% gains in the Nikkei and Kospi.
As the economic recovery continues, the gap between winners and losers is widening into what some are calling a K-shaped recovery.

Strategic Views For A Post-COVID World

02:50am, Tuesday, 25'th Aug 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic has transformed the investment landscape in a matter of months, prompting a rethink of strategic asset allocation views.
While FOMO seems to be afflicting market participants, I think we are approaching a near-term top and will soon begin a corrective pullback.

Macro: Inflation And Policy

10:48am, Sunday, 23'rd Aug 2020
Most of the high-income countries, with the notable exception of the UK, reported disappointing economic data in recent days. US data was decidedly mixed.

Week Ahead - Jackson Hole Goes Virtual

09:24am, Sunday, 23'rd Aug 2020
It's been a relatively slow summer so far as we prepare for a huge run in to the end of the year. A potential multi-trillion dollar stimulus plan, COVID vaccine and fierce White House race awaits us i

What Did The Fed's July Meeting Minutes Reveal?

05:44pm, Saturday, 22'nd Aug 2020
Is the Fed moving to an average inflation targeting approach? Three watchpoints for markets in the short term.

Contemplating The (No Deal) Cliff

05:34pm, Saturday, 22'nd Aug 2020
Deutsche Bank research outlines what they think is likely (baseline) and what a no-deal means for disposable personal income.
As we have been discussing, this past week, the S&P 500 index set an all-time high. Importantly, the breakout to all-time highs confirms the 35% decline in March was only a correction and not a bear m
One of the major efforts made by the Fed to combat the economic recession and possible liquidity crisis was to create a central bank swap facility with foreign central banks.

Monthly Macro Monitor - August 2020

05:35am, Friday, 21'st Aug 2020
Different markets may interpret the data in different ways, so all markets may not agree. That's what we find now with stocks apparently predicting a boom, bonds trading like it is doomsday and commod

All Markets Are Now Monetized

04:46am, Friday, 21'st Aug 2020
The S&P 500 is at an all-time high. Its P/E ratio is only slightly below the 2000 peak.

2020 U.S. Election Primer

04:00am, Friday, 21'st Aug 2020
The economic hit from the COVID-19 pandemic decreased Trump's favorability and his probability of reelection, but economic improvement between now and Election Day could improve his odds.
The financialization process offers clear insights into the ongoing disconnect between asset valuations and the real economy.
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