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At Close: Jun 03, 2026
Bill Nelson On The Fed's Policy Tools In The Post-COVID Economy
12:36pm, Sunday, 02'nd Aug 2020
Bill Nelson is a Chief Economist and Executive Vice President at the Bank Policy Institute, and formerly a Deputy Director of the Division of Monetary Affairs at the Federal Reserve Board.
Despite Attention, Valuations Less Of A Concern - For Now - Macro Update July 30, 2020
12:16pm, Sunday, 02'nd Aug 2020
Stock market valuation in line with corporate bond yields. Data revisions show GDP profits at new high in Q4 2019.
July 2020 Yield Curve Update
11:27am, Sunday, 02'nd Aug 2020
The Fed is failing us. It started out great.
'Insanely Stupid' To Chase Stocks As Economy Plunges?
11:05am, Sunday, 02'nd Aug 2020
Previously, we noted the market remained confined to its consolidation channel. That remained the case again this week and keeps our allocation models primarily on hold at the moment.
Avoiding A Second Wave
06:50am, Sunday, 02'nd Aug 2020
About two-thirds of this month's comment is about COVID-19 and the risk of a second wave. Without an effective vaccine, one of the most important priorities should be increasing the speed of testing.
Weighing The Week Ahead: Is The Payroll Employment Report Accurate?
12:58am, Sunday, 02'nd Aug 2020
It is a big week for data, with a focus on employment. The payroll employment report has been a bright spot in the economic rebound story. Is it a little too bright? Corporate earnings reports, the
Navigating The Pandemic And Beyond
12:43am, Sunday, 02'nd Aug 2020
We still expect the economy to remain on a recovery path but it will not be as quick as earlier assumed.
3 Reasons Why Treasury Rates Can Still Hit 0% (Part II)
08:57am, Friday, 31'st Jul 2020
Deflation remains a more credible risk, not inflation. The output gap suggests core inflation could sink below 0.5% in the coming years.
Fed's Assets Fall By $16 Billion, -$220 Billion Since June 10: Week 7 Of Balance Sheet Shrinkage
07:30am, Friday, 31'st Jul 2020
Total assets on the Fed's balance sheet for the week ended July 29 fell by $16 billion from the prior week to $6.95 trillion.
Fed Reinforces Commitment To Ongoing Monetary Policy Support
06:42am, Friday, 31'st Jul 2020
Given the recent loss of economic momentum, it's also possible that the Fed adjusts its purchases of U.S.
Will A Demand-Side Shockwave Keep Inflation Muted?
01:38am, Friday, 31'st Jul 2020
Since 1960, savings as a percentage of disposable personal income has ranged from roughly 3-15%, holding within a 5-10% range since 2010.
Federal Deficit In COVID-19 Era
07:22am, Thursday, 30'th Jul 2020
June deficit was a whopping $864.07 billion, the largest on record. This brings Trump's 1-term cumulative deficits to a staggering $5.105 trillion, far in excess to the $3.52 trillion average for Obam
Fed Remains Dovish, Despite Some Pickup In Economy
07:10am, Thursday, 30'th Jul 2020
The virus has hurt the recovery, but by how much? What's left in the Federal Reserve's toolbox? What's been the source of the weakness in USD?
Beyond The Inflation Regime Collapse
07:05am, Thursday, 30'th Jul 2020
I guess others are bit tweaked, but they should be removed - repeat content. A commitment to something like MMT would spell the end of the current inflation-targeting regime, by explicitly shifting fr
Fed Watch: Gonna Take 2 Weeks; Gonna Have A Fine Vacation
06:51am, Thursday, 30'th Jul 2020
After a fast and furious start, the balance sheet had actually been shrinking for a four-week period before some modest increases the last two weeks.
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