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Weaker technical forecast for Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jul 10, 2026)
The Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF price gained 0.113% on the last trading day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026), rising from $62.18 to $62.25. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.605% from a day low at $62.01 to a day high of $62.38. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -5.94% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -229 thousand shares and in total, 393 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $24.44 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $61.01 and $66.52 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
EDV Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 08, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.225%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $62.73 and $63.90. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF
Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury finds support from accumulated volume at $62.11 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.375 (0.605%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.88%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (EDV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $62.21, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $61.88 and $62.62, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.741 (+/-1.20%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.20% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $62.11 (0.22%) than the resistance at $62.59 (0.55%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.047
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $62.21 ( 0.0616%).
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EDV Performance
Trading levels for EDV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 62.59 | 0.541% |
| R2 | 62.44 | 0.311% |
| R1 | 62.35 | 0.169% |
| Price | 62.25 | |
| S1 | 62.07 | -0.292% |
| S2 | 61.98 | -0.434% |
| S3 | 61.84 | -0.664% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 64.69 | 3.92% |
| R2 | 64.11 | 2.99% |
| R1 | 62.59 | 0.546% |
| Price | 62.25 | |
| S1 | 62.11 | -0.225% |
| S2 | 61.47 | -1.25% |
| S3 | 61.33 | -1.48% |
EDV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 01, 2026 | Jul 01, 2026 | Jul 06, 2026 | $0.87 | 1.33% |
| 2 | Apr 01, 2026 | Apr 01, 2026 | Apr 01, 2026 | $0.764 | 1.19% |
| 3 | Dec 18, 2025 | Dec 18, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | $0.81 | 1.23% |
| 4 | Oct 01, 2025 | Oct 01, 2025 | Oct 03, 2025 | $0.798 | 1.17% |
| 5 | Jul 01, 2025 | Jul 01, 2025 | Jul 03, 2025 | $0.81 | 1.23% |
FAQ
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