Tractor Supply Company Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The Tractor Supply Company stock price fell by -3.14% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $55.42 to $53.68. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.46% from a day low at $53.37 to a day high of $55.75. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.27% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 803 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 6 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $303.53 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -13.45% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $44.26 and $48.39 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

TSCO Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, November 03, 2025, and so far it has risen 2.27%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Tractor Supply Company stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $55.28 and $54.96. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tractor Supply Company stock

Tractor Supply Company finds support from accumulated volume at $53.10 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $2.38 (4.46%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.59%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (TSCO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Tractor Supply Company to open at $54.27, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $52.97 and $54.39, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.42 (+/-2.69%) up or down from last closing price. If Tractor Supply Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.69% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $53.92 (0.45%) than the support at $53.10 (1.08%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For TSCO

Dividend warning for TSCO: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 5 days on Monday 24th November, 2025. The dividend to be paid is $0.230, which is a small dividend (0.428%). The stock is expected to open approximately 0.428% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is Tractor Supply Company stock A Buy?

Tractor Supply Company holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -3.856 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $54.27 ( 1.09%).

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