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First, we need to understand that what Lagarde stated - that it is not her job to prevent government bonds' prices in the European Monetary Union (EMU) from div
There's been an unprecedented amount of central-bank activity this week. There has also been a number of very strong pledges to ramp up the fiscal stimulus. The

Stagnation Never Looked So Good: A Peak Ahead

01:58pm, Friday, 20'th Mar 2020
The latest sentiment figures from ZEW as well as IFO are sobering. China's dramatic decline is one thing, the German situation quite another. If we further assu
This week, we saw several major central banks announce monetary stimulus measures in the wake of coronavirus concerns. Given the sudden halt across European eco

Italy Is Too Big To Fail

12:38pm, Friday, 20'th Mar 2020
The ECB shocked the markets last week by arguing it wasn't in the business of reducing spreads, sending shockwaves through the eurozone. Events on the ground ha

Markets Ending The Week On Better Note

11:48am, Friday, 20'th Mar 2020
The PBOC surprised by not cutting its one-year prime loan rate. On the other hand, the repo rate, flush with cash from the reserve requirement reduction, has fa

ECB: Will It Spend The 'Envelope'?

02:46am, Friday, 20'th Mar 2020
A €120bn envelope with a greater emphasis on corporate bonds. 10Y Italian bond yields vs. nominal growth. More downside to Bund yields if old relationships appl

ECB's Bazooka Supports Bonds But Not The Euro

11:55am, Thursday, 19'th Mar 2020
It is not just that the dollar soared while stocks and bonds continued to plunge. The ECB held an emergency meeting as European bonds cratered. The Swiss Nation

Rising Yields: Another Cry For (ECB) Help

05:52am, Thursday, 19'th Mar 2020
ECB steps out and fiscal policy steps in. Borrowing costs are rising fast. Correlation between stocks and bonds has broken down. Our fair-value estimates for ye

International Economic Week In Review 3/9-3/13

07:55pm, Sunday, 15'th Mar 2020
The ECB initiated new programs to combat COVID-19. The Bank of England cut rates. The global equity markets are in major sell-offs.

European Central Bank: No Move On Rates

03:10pm, Friday, 13'th Mar 2020
The European Central Bank did not change its policy rate of interest, even though the expectation was only for a minor one, although it did ease up in other way
As we all know, the eurozone has a significant problem. Generally known as the design of the eurozone for it's a non-optimal currency area. However, there's a s

European Recession: In The Books

08:41pm, Thursday, 12'th Mar 2020
European economies have not been in the best of shape, and now, with the spread of the coronavirus, things have deteriorated even further. European leaders have
How much will the eurozone economy be impacted? Larger economies like Germany, Spain, France and the Netherlands have an exposure of around 0.8% to China. Small

ECB Preview: Honeymoon Is Over

06:28pm, Tuesday, 10'th Mar 2020
We expect the ECB to help improve European companies' access to credit. The ECB may double its net asset purchase programme to €40 billion per month over the ne
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