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Given the recent loss of economic momentum, it's also possible that the Fed adjusts its purchases of U.S.
Since 1960, savings as a percentage of disposable personal income has ranged from roughly 3-15%, holding within a 5-10% range since 2010.

Federal Deficit In COVID-19 Era

07:22am, Thursday, 30'th Jul 2020
June deficit was a whopping $864.07 billion, the largest on record. This brings Trump's 1-term cumulative deficits to a staggering $5.105 trillion, far in excess to the $3.52 trillion average for Obam
The virus has hurt the recovery, but by how much? What's left in the Federal Reserve's toolbox? What's been the source of the weakness in USD?

Beyond The Inflation Regime Collapse

07:05am, Thursday, 30'th Jul 2020
I guess others are bit tweaked, but they should be removed - repeat content. A commitment to something like MMT would spell the end of the current inflation-targeting regime, by explicitly shifting fr
After a fast and furious start, the balance sheet had actually been shrinking for a four-week period before some modest increases the last two weeks.

A Modest Proposal

04:38am, Thursday, 30'th Jul 2020
The nagging question at this time, and still unaddressed, is what the Fed's exit strategy is and what it will do about the elephant in the room - its balance sheet.

It's Still Early In The Shift To Real Assets

11:37pm, Wednesday, 29'th Jul 2020
Long bonds was the trade of a generation, as high debt and low inflation pushed yields lower for forty years.
Unfortunately, the US Senate couldn't arrive at a deal on fiscal stimulus, even though the US has experienced 18 consecutive weeks with initial jobless claims of more than 1,000,000.

Greenback Slips Ahead Of The FOMC

07:16am, Wednesday, 29'th Jul 2020
Australian bonds rallied, partly playing catch-up with the move in US Treasuries yesterday, and the 10-year yield fell 4 bp to 87 bp, leaving it virtually flat on the month.
This week the FOMC will convene. The FOMC isn't expected to introduce any major policy changes.
Yardeni is an economist and investment strategist who is also an experienced and widely-followed Fed watcher helping people understand, anticipate and profit from the decisions of Federal Open Market

Fallen Angel Bonds Q&A: What To Watch

01:32pm, Tuesday, 28'th Jul 2020
Fallen angel bonds, as represented by the ICE US Fallen Angel High Yield 10% Constrained Index (Fallen Angel Index), has outperformed the broad high-yield market, as represented by the ICE BofA High Y

The Dollar's Value Under Pressure

11:37am, Tuesday, 28'th Jul 2020
The dollar's value has come under pressure recently. Does this mean the dollar's role as a key international currency is at threat? In our papers, Frankel and I emphasized the euro could only come to

A Tactical Update: Whither Goest The Dollar

10:17am, Tuesday, 28'th Jul 2020
The Fortress allocation has historically produced better risk-adjusted returns than the traditional 60% stocks/40% bonds allocation.
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