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At Close: Jun 03, 2026

The Relentless Hunt For Yield

09:21am, Tuesday, 28'th Jul 2020
60% of all global yields are now less than 1.00% and 86% of all global yields are now less than 2.00% according to the Financial Times.

Update On Fed Repo And Reverse Repo Facility

07:47am, Tuesday, 28'th Jul 2020
A measure of how last fall's disruption in the repo market has subsided can be observed by the takedowns in the Fed's repo facility.

Coronavirus, Consolidation, And China

11:02am, Monday, 27'th Jul 2020
Most of the tracking data over the past few weeks shows the U.S. economy is trending down.
The disruption caused by the economic shutdown has permanently impaired the retirement plan of many. According to the July 2020 SimplyWise Retirement Confidence Index, 62% of Americans are more concer
Muni yields fell more as ratios have declined. Muni funds experienced net inflows for 10th consecutive week.

Caught Between The Crosshairs

03:05am, Monday, 27'th Jul 2020
With the 5 year and 10 year Treasuries hitting a record low yield last week, bond investors are in a wrath of hurt.
2020 is certainly going to go down in history as one of the wildest, craziest, and most memorable. But one thing is for sure.
Predictions of the dollar's demise are likely premature and overblown. This post is in response to the rising interest in both precious metals and cryptocurrencies.
In June, for the third month in a row, money supply growth surged to an all-time high. The growth rate has never been higher, with the 1970s the only period that comes close.

Fed Stimulus Has Created The 'Cobra Effect'

11:21am, Sunday, 26'th Jul 2020
The market had remained within a consolidation range since the mid-June highs. With the late week sell-off, we have updated our risk/reward ranges.

Weekly Commentary: Crossing Red Lines

09:33am, Sunday, 26'th Jul 2020
COVID stimulus stoked bubble dynamics for global risk assets, certainly including Chinese equities. This bubble has turned unstable.

Explaining The Credit Cycle

08:37am, Sunday, 26'th Jul 2020
This article summarises why the credit cycle leads to alternate booms and slumps. It is only with this in mind that they can be properly understood as current economic conditions evolve.
Economic data continues to show modest improvement. I find this unconvincing, and I will try to explain.

Let's Make A Deal

01:04am, Sunday, 26'th Jul 2020
Jobless claims rose last week for the first time since March - there are over 16 million who filed for ongoing benefits last week.

Are Treasury Yields Poised To Test New Lows?

07:41am, Friday, 24'th Jul 2020
Considering renewed concern that the US economic recovery is cooling, deteriorating US-China relations, and few signs that America is getting control of the coronavirus, it all adds up to a strengthen
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