Iranian Oil Scenarios

07:31am, Friday, 20'th Feb 2026
The security premium on oil often confounds markets and analysts. Essentially, it is crowd-sourcing (as the kids say) of probabilities about geopolitical risks: how likely are given developments and w
U.S. strikes on Iran could precipitate a big oil price spike if the Islamic Republic is able to make the Strait of Hormuz unsafe for commercial traffic. More than 14 million barrels per day of oil pas

Morning Bid: Oil engulfed

06:39am, Friday, 20'th Feb 2026
Everything Mike Dolan and the ROI team are excited to read, watch and listen to over the weekend.
Brent crude tests $72.30 Fibonacci resistance as geopolitical tensions and tight inventories lift oil prices. Breakout toward $73.25 or pullback to $70?
U.S. President Donald Trump has given Iran "10 to 15" days to make a meaningful deal over its nuclear program — or “really bad things” will happen. Oil prices held at six-month highs on Friday m
Martijn Rats, Chief Commodity Strategist at Morgan Stanley, tells CNBC it's normal for oil markets to price in an additional risk premium as U.S.-Iran tensions escalate, but global supplies remain suf
The United States is in "active negotiation" over the sale of Venezuelan oil to India, to help India diversify its sources of crude oil, U.S. Envoy Sergio Gor said on Friday.
Thursday's scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries.
Hungary's government is going to release 250,000 tons of crude oil from its strategic reserves after oil flows stopped on the Druzhba pipeline, the official journal of the government said in a decree

Oil Hits Six-Month High Amid US-Iran Tensions

01:38am, Friday, 20'th Feb 2026
Oil rose to a six-month high as escalating tensions in Iran weighed on risk sentiment. The commodity is up more than 6% this week to $72 a barrel after US President Donald Trump said Iran had 15 day
US futures steady in Asian markets as Iran tensions lift oil to 7-month highs, while Fed rate cut bets and key US data drive Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 outlook.
Oil prices were higher on Friday as concern of conflict between the U.S. and Iran ratcheted up, with Washington saying Tehran will suffer if it does not agree a deal about its nuclear activity within
Oil futures edged higher in early Asian trade amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions that could lead to supply disruptions.
Bloomberg Television brings you the latest news and analysis leading up to the final minutes and seconds before and after the closing bell on Wall Street. Today's guests are BlackRock's Gargi Chaudhur
WTI crude oil has broken out of a pennant pattern, confirming bullish momentum and setting the stage for a continued advance toward key resistance levels.
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