Alibaba stock price down 1.51% on WednesdayStockInvest.us, 2 months ago
The Alibaba stock price fell by -1.51% on the last day (Wednesday, 25th Aug 2021) from $171.70 to $169.10. During the day the stock fluctuated 2.13% from a day low at $166.08 to a day high of $169.61. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -13.22% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -37 million shares and in total, 26 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.38 billion.
On August 20, 2021 "Erste Group" gave "" rating for BABA. The price target was changed from $160.55 to 6.8%.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled.Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -18.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $127.02 and $163.54 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, August 20, 2021, and so far it has risen 7.05%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Alibaba stock holds a buy signal from the short-term moving average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term moving average at $193.89. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $166.64. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 months Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Alibaba finds support from accumulated volume at $161.06 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $3.53 between high and low, or 2.13%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 4.72%.
Alibaba is oversold on RSI14 (24). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Alibaba holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock.Check full Alibaba forecast and analysis here.