Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Shows Resilience with Bullish Technicals and Strong Fundamentals, 1 month ago

Google Technical Analysis

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) closed at $173.17 on June 3, 2024, marking a slight increase of 0.39% from the previous close. The stock's price movement for the day ranged between $171.16 and $174.52, indicating that it traded relatively close to its resistance level at $174.18. The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60, suggesting it is neither overbought nor oversold. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages are $162.86 and $143.46 respectively, indicating a solid upward momentum. On a technical front, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) of 4.97 further underscores bullish sentiment.

The current Average True Range (ATR) stands at approximately 2.00, which suggests moderate volatility in the stock price. The support level is noted at $171.95, providing a cushion against short-term downside risks. The next trading day on June 4, 2024, could see modest gains or stabilization around the resistance level of $174.18, given the bullish technical indicators.

Fundamental Analysis

Alphabet Inc. exhibits strong fundamentals with a market capitalization of $2.15 trillion. The stock's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio stands at 26.56, which is reasonable for a tech giant with considerable growth prospects. The earnings per share (EPS) is reported at $6.52, reflecting sound profitability.

The recent news about layoffs in the company's cloud division could be interpreted as efforts to streamline operations and prioritize growth areas like artificial intelligence. However, potential privacy concerns as reported may cast a shadow on investor sentiment. The upcoming earnings announcement on July 23, 2024, could be a critical inflection point for the stock, as positive earnings could enhance its attractiveness.

Google The stock's intrinsic value, according to the discounted cash flow (DCF) model, stands at $192.71, indicating that the current price of $173.17 is undervalued by approximately 11.28%. Analyst consensus shows a target median price of $149.125, but the high target is $215, suggesting there is room for significant upside.

Short-Term and Long-Term Predictions

For the next trading day (June 4, 2024), the stock might continue to flirt with its resistance at $174.18, given the positive momentum. Over the upcoming week, market sentiment and technical strength suggest a potential upward movement, possibly breaching the resistance level, unless the market reacts negatively to the news around layoffs and privacy issues.

From a long-term perspective, Alphabet's robust financial health, strategic focus on AI, and diverse revenue streams underscore solid investment potential. The intrinsic value indicates underpricing, suggesting that the stock could appreciate in value over the long term.

Overall Evaluation

Given its strong technicals, reasonable valuation, and positive long-term growth potential, Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) is evaluated as a 'Buy' candidate. The recent developments and potential for further technological advancements bolster this assessment, while current undervaluation and positive analyst expectations support its long-term viability. This evaluation considers short-term risks from operational restructuring and privacy concerns but balances them against the overall positive trajectory.

Check full Google forecast and analysis here.