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Apple Inc. Stock Analysis: Potential Volatility Expected Ahead of iPhone 15 Launch

StockInvest.us, 2 months ago

Apple Stock analysis for Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Fundamental Analysis

Apple Inc. has been trading on the NASDAQ with the ticker symbol AAPL. At the close of trading on September 11, 2023, the company's stock stood at $179.36, a 0.66% increase in the session. The trading session saw the stock's movements between a price low of $177.34 and a high of $180.3. Within the past year, the company's stock has ranged from a low of $124.17 to a high of $198.23.

Apple boasts a quite substantial market capitalization of $2.80 trillion, which reaffirms its standing among the largest publicly traded companies in the world. The company has about 15.63 billion outstanding shares. The volume of shares traded stands at 58.80 million, close to its average volume of 56.25 million.

With an earnings per share (EPS) of $5.96, the stock's prevailing price-earnings (PE) ratio sits at 30.09. It suggests that the market participants are willing to pay roughly $30 for each dollar of earnings that the company generates.

Technical Analysis

Apple's 50-day moving average stands at $186.29, which is currently above the stock's price. The 200-day moving averages is at $164.04, well below the current stock price, indicating an overall upward trend.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI14) stands at 55, indicating that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), which is a trend-following momentum indicator, stands at -0.886168, suggesting there's been a recent bearish signal.

Apple The stock is currently trading slightly above its support level of $178.85 and below its resistance level of $181.99 — a key area to watch in the short term.

Overall Evaluation

Analysts' average target for Apple's stock price is $186.62, with a median target of $192.5 and a range from a low of $110 to a high of $240. The consensus among analysts is a "Buy" recommendation, with 23 recommending a "Buy" against 9 suggesting to "Hold" and only 1 recommending a "Sell".

Relevant News

Recent news suggest optimism regarding Apple's future performance. There is much anticipation for the company's annual September event, where imminent launch of iPhone 15 promises potential upward pressure on the stock. However, historical trends suggest the possibility of a brief dip in the stock price post-launch, which could offer an attractive buying opportunity for investors.

Forecast for Next Trading Day and Upcoming Week

Considering the technical and fundamental analysis along with recent news events, it's expected that the stock might see some volatility due to the upcoming iPhone 15 launch. The current stock price is close to the support level, which may generate upward momentum. However, historical trends following product launches and the MACD could signal short-term bearish sentiment, leading to a potential dip in the next trading session, before recovering over the week in response to Apple's announcement and market reaction.

Final Evaluation

Apple's fundamental position and news catalysts suggest a potential future growth. However, investors should tread carefully considering the technical and historical trends. Using the discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation model, the stock is close to its estimated intrinsic value of $180.81. Considering the strong market capitalization, increase in stock price, consensus of analysts recommendations, and DCF value, the evaluation suggests a "Hold" recommendation for Apple Inc. stock in the short term, and "Buy" recommendation if a dip occurs after the product launch event.

Check full Apple forecast and analysis here.