Apple Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 30, 2025 Gain 2.92%

The Apple stock price decreased by -0.588% on the last trading day (Friday, 11th Jul 2025), moving from $212.41 to $211.16. During this trading session, the stock experienced fluctuations of 1.08%, with a low of $209.86 and a high of $212.13. The price has increased in 8 out of the last 10 days, climbing by 5.05% over the past two weeks. On the last trading day, the volume also decreased alongside the stock price, which is considered a positive indicator since volume should align with stock movement. The trading volume dropped by -4 million shares, with a total of 40 million shares traded for approximately $8.38 billion.

The stock is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Apple stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $198.90 and $217.84 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

AAPL Signals & Forecast

The Apple stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $211.49. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $202.90. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 03, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.02%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Apple stock

Apple finds support from accumulated volume at $205.35 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.27 between high and low, or 1.08%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.93%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $203.00 (-3.87%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (AAPL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 14th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 14th we expect Apple Inc. to open at $211.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $209.04 and $213.28, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$4.23 (+/-2.02%) up or down from last closing price. If Apple Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.02% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $211.25 (0.04%) than the support at $205.35 (2.75%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Apple Inc. stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Apple stock to perform well in the short-term period.

Current score: 1.736 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2025 - $211.05 ( 0.0521%).

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