Apple Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Apr 16, 2025 Gain 1.37%

The Apple stock price increased 1.37% on the most recent trading day (Thursday, 17th Apr 2025), climbing from $194.27 to $196.94. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.27%, with a daily low of $194.42 and a daily high of $198.83. The price has declined in 6 out of the last 10 days, resulting in an overall decrease of -3.08% during this timeframe. Volume decreased on the last day by -8 million shares, with a total of 51 million shares exchanged for approximately $10.10 billion. It is important to note that a decline in volume alongside rising prices can indicate divergence and may serve as an early warning of potential changes in the coming days.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -15.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $141.00 and $186.47 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

AAPL Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 08, 2025, and so far it has risen 14.22%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Apple stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $197.61 and $214.13. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Apple stock

Apple finds support from accumulated volume at $188.38 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $4.41 between high and low, or 2.27%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.31%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (AAPL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 21st we expect Apple Inc. to open at $196.73, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $186.52 and $207.35, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$10.41 (+/-5.29%) up or down from last closing price. If Apple Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.57% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $198.85 (0.97%) than the support at $188.38 (4.34%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Apple Inc. stock A Buy?

Apple holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -2.644 Sell Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on April 21, 2025 - $196.73 ( 0.104%).