Big movements in Tesla stock price on Friday moving 12.11% between high and low, 2 months ago


The Tesla stock price gained 11.00% on the last trading day (Friday, 27th Jan 2023), rising from $160.27 to $177.90. It has now gained 7 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 12.11% from a day low at $161.17 to a day high of $180.68. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 43.98% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 70 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 304 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $54.13 billion.

The last rating was given by Truist Securities on Jan 23, 2023. The price target was changed from 299 to 245.Over the last 90 days, this security got 1 buy, 18 sell, and 2 hold ratings.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -35.20% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $52.60 and $115.28 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.


The Tesla stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term moving averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $147.26 and $137.27. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, January 03, 2023, and so far it has risen 64.57%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $160.27 and $144.43.There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Tesla finds support just below today's level at $160.27. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $144.43 and $143.75.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $19.51 between high and low, or 12.11%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.91%.

The Tesla stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.Since the Tesla has been rising for 7 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. As we cannot be certain with regards to the size of the reaction, we urge caution.

Tesla holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Check full Tesla forecast and analysis here.