Big movements in United States Oil Fund, LP ETF price on Monday moving 25.72% between high and low

The United States Oil Fund, LP ETF price fell by -4.14% on the last day (Monday, 9th Mar 2026) from $108.84 to $104.33. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 25.72% from a day low at $98.69 to a day high of $124.07. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 28.96% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 73 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 141 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $14.71 billion.

The ETF lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $109.24 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising.Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 28.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $104.30 and $139.95 at the end of this 3-month period.

The United States Oil Fund, LP ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $94.34 and $80.50. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, March 06, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.14%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $96.31 and $90.20.There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, United States Oil Fund, LP finds support just below today's level at $96.31. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $90.20 and $87.19.

This ETF may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $25.38 between high and low, or 25.72%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 9.28%.

The United States Oil Fund, LP ETF is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some ETF may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for United States Oil Fund, LP ETF to perform well in the short-term.We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.