United States Oil Fund Lp ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 30, 2026

The United States Oil Fund, LP ETF price fell by -0.598% on the last day (Tuesday, 30th Jun 2026) from $107.08 to $106.44. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.87% from a day low at $105.13 to a day high of $108.15. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -12.19% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 635 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $395.88 million.

The ETF lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $104.99 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -9.28% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $95.25 and $132.64 at the end of this 3-month period.

USO Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 26, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.92%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The United States Oil Fund, LP ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $108.36 and $129.62. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for United States Oil Fund, LP ETF

United States Oil Fund, LP finds support from accumulated volume at $106.29 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this ETF is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the ETF moved $3.02 between high and low, or 2.87%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.54%.

United States Oil Fund, LP is oversold on RSI14 (20). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (USO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect United States Oil Fund, LP to open at $106.57, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $103.83 and $109.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.21 (+/-5.02%) up or down from last closing price. If United States Oil Fund, LP takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.02% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $106.29 (0.14%) than the resistance at $124.09 (16.58%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is United States Oil Fund, LP ETF A Buy?

United States Oil Fund, LP holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -3.477 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 1, 2026 - $106.57 ( 0.125%).

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